In this article, we will formulate a Bills vs Raiders Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 18th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Las Vegas Raiders Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 3-2 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the AFC West. They are coming off a 17-45 road loss against the Patriots and will face the Rams, the Jets and the 49ers next.
Offensively, the Raiders average 26.4 points per game, ranking 9th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25.8 points per game, which is 22nd. Las Vegas averages 335.6 total yards per game (253.6 passing and 82 rushing), while allowing 377 total yards per game (140.6 rushing and 236.4 passing).
Kirk Cousins leads the Raiders with 1269 passing yards with 65.1% completed passes and twelve touchdowns. Ashton Jeanty leads the team in rushing yards with 291, while Brock Bowers has 24 receptions for a team-high 312 receiving yards. Defensively, Nakobe Dean has a team-high 44 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Malcolm Koonce leads the team in sacks, with 3.
Buffalo Bills Preview
The Buffalo Bills have a 4-1 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the AFC East. They are coming off a 37-34 road win against the Rams and will face the Ravens, the Vikings and the Jets next.
Offensively, the Bills average 32.8 points per game, ranking 1st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 28.2 points per game, which is 28th. Buffalo averages 396.2 total yards per game (238.2 passing and 158 rushing), while allowing 388.6 total yards per game (108.2 rushing and 280.4 passing).
Josh Allen leads the Bills with 1249 passing yards with 65.9% completed passes and seven touchdowns. James Cook leads the team in rushing yards with 532, while Dalton Kincaid has 16 receptions for a team-high 277 receiving yards. Defensively, Dorian Williams has a team-high 41 total tackles (18 of them solo), while Gregory Rousseau leads the team in sacks, with 6.
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The Raiders have won each of their last six Week 6 games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bills have lost three of their last four games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games in October.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games without Dawson Knox.
- The Raiders have won the first half in four of their last five games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight Week 6 day games.
- The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last six October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Why the Buffalo Bills will win
- The Raiders have lost each of their last nine games without Michael Mayer.
- The Bills have won each of their last eight games after coming off overtime.
- The Bills have covered the spread in each of their last eight games after coming off overtime.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs without Malcolm Koonce.
- The Bills have won the first quarter in each of their last three games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bills have won the first half in each of their last seven day games after coming off overtime.
- The Bills have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last nine Sunday games played on the West Coast.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of the Raiders’ last 13 games as home underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Bills’ last nine day games played on the West Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 24+ completions in seven of his last eight October home appearances.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four games.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 263+ passing yards in eight of his last nine October appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Raiders’ last four games following a road loss.
- Heading into Week 6, Hezekiah Masses ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Josh Allen has scored the last touchdown in three of the Bills’ last four regular season games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
- Josh Allen has scored two touchdowns in three of the Bills’ last four games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Josh Allen has recorded 35+ rushing yards in seven of the Bills’ last eight day road games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last six day road games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Josh Allen has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Bills’ last six day road games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- James Cook has recorded 111+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Bills’ last eight games following a road win.
- Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last six regular season games against AFC West opponents.
- Dawson Knox has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last five regular season road games against AFC West opponents.
- Heading into Week 6, Josh Allen ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Raiders rank 1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (11) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Raiders rank 1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (6) this season.
- Bills – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Bills – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
Bills vs Raiders Prediction
In this Bills vs Raiders Prediction, the Bills are coming as -4.5 road favorites. The Bills have been almost perfect this season with just one defeat and have the best offense in the NFL. Both teams are 4-1 ATS this season so I like the total more in this matchup. Both teams score 59.2 ppg combined, while allowing 54 ppg combined defensively, with both numbers going over today’s total of 53.5. They are 9-1 to the over in their last 10 games combined and all of their seven head-to-head meetings have gone over the total. Do not overthink this one and take the over 53.5 points.