Browns vs Saints Prediction
In this Browns vs Saints Prediction, the Saints are coming as -3.5 home favorites. The Saints have been the worse team this season with just two wins and the 4th-worst defense in football and are still being favorited at home, as the Browns will probably be without their starting quarterback. The Saints are 1-4 both straight up and against the spread in their last 5 games, while the Browns are 5-2 in their last 7 games but their offense struggling mightily in their previous game, as they scored just 6 points against the Steelers. The Saints’ offense has been up and down as well and instead of picking a side, I like the total more, as I expect this to be a low-scoring affair. Both teams are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games combined and they average just 40.5 points per game combined this season. Take the under 42.5 in this one.
New Orleans Saints Preview
The New Orleans Saints have a 2-5 record this season are sitting on the 4th place of the NFC South. They have a 0-4 home record and are 2-1 on the road and are 3-4 against the spread and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 10-16 home loss against the Steelers and will face the Panthers and the Bears next.
Offensively, the Saints average 23.1 points per game, ranking 14th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 27.7 points per game, which is 29th. New Orleans averages 315.7 total yards per game (229.7 passing and 86 rushing), while allowing 372.7 total yards per game (139.4 rushing and 233.3 passing). They average 4.8 yards per play, while allowing 5.8 yards per play to opponents. They score on 36.5% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.12 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 46.8% of drives, while allowing 2.55 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 13 times, while defensively, they have forced 9 turnovers, giving them a -4 net turnover margin.
Tyler Shough leads the Saints with 1721 passing yards with 67.0% completed passes and thirteen touchdowns. Kendre Miller leads the team in rushing yards with 159, while Chris Olave has 49 receptions for a team-high 636 receiving yards. Defensively, Pete Werner has a team-high 54 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Chase Young leads the team in sacks, with 7.
Injury Report:
- Kelvin Banks Jr. (IR-R, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8
- CJ Donaldson (Questionable, Shoulder) – Est. return Nov 8
- Jordyn Tyson (IR-R, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 8
- Alvin Kamara (Questionable, Back) – Est. return Nov 8
- Justin Reid (Questionable, Concussion) – Est. return Nov 8
Cleveland Browns Preview
The Cleveland Browns have a 5-3 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the AFC North. They have a 3-0 home record and are 2-3 on the road and are 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-27 road loss against the Steelers and will face the Texans and the Raiders next.
Offensively, the Browns average 17.4 points per game, ranking 29th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.6 points per game, which is 13th. Cleveland averages 301.9 total yards per game (204.3 passing and 97.6 rushing), while allowing 323.5 total yards per game (126.9 rushing and 196.6 passing). They average 5 yards per play, while allowing 5.2 yards per play to opponents. They score on 31.2% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.49 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 38.2% of drives, while allowing 1.96 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 11 times, while defensively, they have forced 10 turnovers, giving them a -1 net turnover margin.
Deshaun Watson leads the Browns with 1806 passing yards with 65.5% completed passes and seven touchdowns but he is questionable to play in this game. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 342, while Harold Fannin has 35 receptions for a team-high 411 receiving yards. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 74 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Mason Graham leads the team in sacks, with 4.
Injury Report:
- Quincy Williams (Questionable, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 8
- Denzel Boston (Questionable, Calf) – Est. return Nov 8
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (Questionable, Hip) – Est. return Nov 8
- Harold Fannin Jr. (Questionable, Groin) – Est. return Nov 8
- Deshaun Watson (Questionable, Concussion) – Est. return Nov 8
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the New Orleans Saints will win
- The Browns have lost each of their last seven road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The home team has won five of the Browns’ last six games.
- The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last six games without Julian Blackmon.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs without Denzel Ward.
- The Saints have won the first half in five of their last six November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The Saints have lost each of their last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Browns have won four of their last five games as underdogs without Dylan Sampson.
- The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NFC South opponents.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites without Juwan Johnson.
- The underdogs have won the first half in four of the last five games between the Browns and Saints.
- The Browns have won the first quarter in each of their last two November games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Browns’ last six games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Saints’ last eight Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Chris Olave has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Saints’ last four Sunday games as favorites.
- Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in each of the Saints’ last six day games against AFC opponents.
- Tyler Shough has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Saints’ last six day games against AFC opponents.
- Noah Fant has recorded 11+ receiving yards in 17 of his last 19 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, Tyler Shough ranks 1st in the league for times blitzed (104) this season.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Jerry Jeudy has recorded 22+ receiving yards in 12 of his 14 previous road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Dylan Sampson has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five day road appearances.
- Dylan Sampson has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of his last three appearances with the Browns as underdogs following a loss.
- Heading into Week 9, Ronnie Hickman ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (80.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (77.3%) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Browns are the only team to overturn multiple 10+ point 1st quarter deficits to win this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Browns have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 20+ points this season (2).