The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns meet Thursday in NFL action at Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Browns vs. Steelers Prediction. This article will include a Browns vs. Steelers Pick.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers lost to the Patriots, beat the Bengals, and they play the Colts next. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 6 of their last 8 regular season games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 700 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Roman Wilson and Jaylen Warren have combined for 224 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Pat Freiermuth has 11 receptions.
The Pittsburgh Steelers’ ground game is averaging 95.7 yards per contest, and Jaylen Warren leads the way with 216 yards on 38 carries. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 20 points and 305.7 yards per game. Payton Wilson leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 27 tackles, T.J. Watt has 3.5 sacks, and Patrick Queen has 1 interception.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
The Cleveland Browns beat the Buccaneers and Panthers, and they play the Jets next. The Cleveland Browns haven’t won 3 straight games since December 2023. Deshaun Watson is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 587 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Denzel Boston and Harold Fannin Jr. have combined for 321 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while KC Concepcion has 12 receptions.
The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 87.7 yards per contest, and Quinshon Judkins leads the way with 124 yards on 42 carries. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 23.7 points and 344.3 yards per game. Carson Schwesinger leads the Cleveland Browns with 26 tackles, Mason Graham has 4 sacks, and Myles Harden has 1 interception.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The home team has won each of the last nine games between the Steelers and Browns.
- The Steelers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last nine games between the Steelers and Browns.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a win.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Steelers’ last seven Week 4 games.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven home games against the Steelers.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the last seven games between the Steelers and Browns.
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Steelers have won seven of their last eight October games against the Browns.
- The Browns have lost each of their last four games without Denzel Ward.
- The Steelers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine October games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 4 games.
- The Steelers have won the first quarter in five of their last six Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first half in 11 of their last 12 games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Browns’ last eight home games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Steelers’ last five games without Cameron Heyward have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Thursday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone OVER the total points line.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the first touchdown in each of the Browns’ last three home games.
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the last touchdown in each of the Browns’ last four home games.
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Browns’ last five home games.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 19+ completions in 15 of his last 17 appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 234+ passing yards in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against AFC opponents.
- Quinshon Judkins has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances at Huntington Bank Field.
- Jerry Jeudy has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last 28 appearances against division opponents.
- Heading into Week 4, Denzel Boston ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (2) this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- D.K. Metcalf has recorded 48+ receiving yards in each of his last eight October appearances.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 235+ passing yards in each of his eight previous October appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last seven Thursday appearances.
- Heading into Week 4, Jaylen Warren has the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown this season (216).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 4, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (174.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Browns rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
Browns vs Steelers Prediction
I considered the Browns and the points, as they’re at home with the short week, and I’m just not impressed with how the Steelers look offensively. However, this feels like an ugly AFC North battle that I have more confidence in the Steelers squeaking out. The Browns have offensive line concerns and can’t run the ball, which plays into the Steelers’ strength of their front seven and pass rush. There are also rumblings that Joey Porter could make his debut, which only improves this Steelers defense. It likely won’t be pretty, but we’re laying just under a full field goal. I’ll lay the points with the road team.