In this article, we will formulate a Browns vs Steelers Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 12th at the Acrisure Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Pittsburgh Steelers Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 3-1 record this season and are sitting in first place of the AFC North. They are 2-2 ATS, 3-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and 2-0 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 24-21 road win over the Minnesota Vikings and are playing the Cincinnati Bengals, the Green Bay Packers and the Indianapolis Colts next.
Offensively, the Steelers average 24.0 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 24.5 points per game, which is 20th. Pittsburgh averages 263.5 total yards per game, with 80 rushing yards and 183.5 passing yards per game. They allow 382.5 total yards per game, with 122 rushing and 260.5 passing yards per game.
Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 786 passing yards and 68.5% completed passes. Kenneth Gainwell leads the team in rushing yards, with 154, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 15 receptions for 261 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Patrick Queen has a team-high 35 total tackles, 22 of them solo. T.J. Watt leads the Steelers in sacks, with 3.0, while Jalen Ramsey, T.J. Watt, Brandin Echols, DeShon Elliott and Nick Herbig have one interception each.
Cleveland Browns Preview
The Cleveland Browns have a 1-4 record this season and are sitting in third place of the AFC North. They are 2-3 ATS, 2-3 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 1-2 home record. The Browns are coming off a 17-21 road loss to the Minnesota Vikings and are playing the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots next.
Offensively, the Browns average 14.6 points per game, which ranks 31st in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 24.6 points per game, which is 21st. Cleveland averages 288.2 total yards per game, with 95.8 rushing yards and 192.4 passing yards per game. They allow 247.8 total yards per game, with 75.6 rushing and 172.2 passing yards per game.
Joe Flacco leads the Browns with 815 passing yards and 58.1% completed passes. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards, with 347, while Quinshon Judkins has a team-high 62 receptions for 434 receiving yards. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 44 total tackles, 18 of them solo. Myles Garrett leads the Browns in sacks, with 4.0, while Grant Delpit and Denzel Ward have one interception each.
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Browns have lost each of their last 13 Week 6 road games.
- The Steelers have won 21 of their last 22 home games against the Browns.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Browns and Steelers.
- The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last 12 road games against AFC North opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 6 games.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Browns’ last four Week 6 games.
- The Steelers have lost two of their last three games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Browns’ last four Week 6 games.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against AFC opponents.
- The Steelers have lost the first half in seven of their last eight October games against AFC opponents.
- The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last nine October games against AFC opponents.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against the Steelers.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of the Steelers’ last 11 Week 6 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Browns’ last six Week 6 games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the last nine games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- Jonnu Smith has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances against division opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 211+ passing yards in each of his last 14 October appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances against division opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 6, Juan Thornhill ranks T4th in the league for fumbles recovered (1) this season.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Jerry Jeudy has recorded 51+ receiving yards in 10 of the Browns’ last 11 games against AFC opponents.
- Quinshon Judkins has scored a touchdown in each of the Browns’ last two games against teams on a winning streak.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 280+ passing yards in each of his last three October appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
- Jerome Ford has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC North opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three October appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
- Carson Schwesinger has 44 tackles through his first five career games – most by any player since Devin Lloyd, (2022).
Matchup/League Facts
- Steelers – 10 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Heading into Week 6, the Steelers rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (5) this season.
- Browns – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Heading into Week 6, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (75.6) this season.
Browns vs Steelers Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, the Steelers won 27-14 at home. Both teams are tied 5-5 wins in their last 10 meetings, but the Steelers have won their last four meetings in Pittsburgh. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Browns vs Steelers Prediction, the Steelers are coming as -5.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 38 points. The Steelers have lost only once in their four games played this season, and have back-to-back wins. On the flip side, the Browns have won only once in their five games this season, and have lost both of their road games by 24 points each. Cleveland has been terrible this season, having the second-worst offense in the NFL, and losing by an average of 10 points. The Steelers have been dominating the Browns in Pittsburgh, and I expect them to keep doing so today. Take the Pittsburgh Steelers and lay the -5.5 points.