In this article, we will formulate a Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction for this NFL Week 7 game on Monday, October 20th at the Ford Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Detroit Lions Preview
The Detroit Lions have a 4-2-0 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC North. They are 4-2 ATS, 3-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 2-2 away record. The Lions are coming off a 17-30 road loss against the Kansas City Chiefs and will face the Buccaneers, Vikings and the Commanders next.
Offensively, the Lions average 31.8 points per game, ranking 2nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.7 points per game, which is 18th. Detroit averages 353.7 total yards per game (225.0 passing and 128.7 rushing), while allowing 308.2 total yards per game (95.5 rushing and 212.7 passing).
Jared Goff leads the Lions with 1390 passing yards with 75.9% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Jahmyr Gibbs leads the team in rushing yards with 390, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has a team-high 44 receptions for 452 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Jack Campbell has a team-high 56 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Aidan Hutchinson leads the team in sacks, with 6.0, while Kerby Joseph has three interceptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 5-1-0 record this season and are sitting first in the NFC South. They are 4-2 ATS, 4-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 3-0 away record. The Buccaneers are coming off a 30-19 home win against the San Francisco 49ers and will face the Lions, Saints and the Patriots next.
Offensively, the Buccaneers average 27.5 points per game, ranking 6th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25.2 points per game, which is 24th. Tampa Bay averages 353.5 total yards per game (244.2 passing and 109.3 rushing), while allowing 319.5 total yards per game (88.2 rushing and 231.3 passing).
Baker Mayfield leads the Buccaneers with 1539 passing yards with 66.2% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Bucky Irving leads the team in rushing yards with 237, while Emeka Egbuka has a team-high 27 receptions for 469 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tykee Smith has a team-high 45 total tackles (27 of them solo), while YaYa Diaby leads the team in sacks, with 3.0, while Jamel Dean has two interceptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the Detroit Lions will win
- The Lions have won each of their last nine home games following a loss.
- The Buccaneers have lost 12 of their 13 previous Week 7 road games against NFC opponents.
- The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last 11 games as favorites following a loss.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs before a Division game.
- The Lions have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games as favorites following a loss.
- The Lions have won the first quarter in each of their last six home games against NFC opponents.
- The Lions have won the first half in each of their last 11 games as favorites following a loss.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Buccaneers have won each of their last three games as road underdogs.
- The Lions have lost seven of their last nine games against NFC South opponents on a winning streak.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight games.
- The Lions have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven October home games against NFC opponents.
- The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in each of their last three games as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The road team has won the first half in five of the last six games between the Buccaneers and Lions.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last six games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Lions’ last four October home games against NFC South opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored the first touchdown in four of the Lions’ last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in four of the Lions’ last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jameson Williams has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last eight games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Jared Goff has recorded 255+ passing yards in eight of the Lions’ last nine home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of the Lions’ last seven games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Lions’ last seven games against NFC opponents.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last nine games as favorites.
- David Montgomery has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine regular season appearances with the Lions as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 7, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (6) this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 256+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last five October games.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 23+ completions in five of his last six October road appearances.
- Rachaad White has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- Bucky Irving has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Bucky Irving has scored a touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
- Bucky Irving has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Rachaad White has scored the last touchdown in three of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs following a win.
- Heading into Week 7, Emeka Egbuka ranks 1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Lions – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Lions – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Buccaneers – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Buccaneers – seven different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, the Buccaneers won 20-16 on the road. Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings, but the Buccaneers are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Detroit. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction, the Lions are coming as -5.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 52.5 points. Both teams have been very good this season, with the Lions being undefeated at home, and so are the Buccaneers on the road. Both teams are also balanced in their recent meetings, so I see no value on either side. They have been involved in higher scoring games lately, as they are 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games combined, having the second and 6th-best offense in the league, scoring 57.3 points per game combined. Take the over 52.5 points in this one.