The New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action from Highmark Stadium. Here’s a Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bills vs Patriots pick.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The Patriots skidded to losses versus the Seahawks, Jets, 49ers, Dolphins, Texans, and Jaguars in their first seven games. After a 2-1 midseason run New England has since lost to the Rams, Dolphins, Colts, and Cardinals.
Coming out of the bye week versus Arizona, the Patriots took a 13-3 deficit into halftime. New England scored 14 points in the fourth quarter but ended up losing 30-17. Drake Maye threw for 202 yards with a TD and a pick, while Kendrick Bourne caught three balls for 44 yards.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
Over on the Bills’ side, they opened the year on a spotty 3-2 run. Buffalo has since beaten the Jets, Titans, Seahawks, Dolphins, Colts, Chiefs, 49ers, and Lions (with a lone loss to the Rams) in their last nine outings for an 11-3 record so far.
In Sunday’s game versus the Lions, Buffalo held a modest seven-point lead going into the third quarter. The Bills scored another 27 points in a high-flying 48-42 win. Josh Allen managed 362 yards with two scores (and two rush TDs). James Cook had 14 totes for 105 yards and two touchdowns of his own.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bills’ last seven home games against AFC opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last six games in December has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last five games between AFC East teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last eight December games.
- Dalton Kincaid has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last eight home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 44+ rushing yards in five of the Bills’ last six December games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
- Josh Allen has scored the last touchdown in each of the Bills’ last three Sunday games as favorites.
- Josh Allen has recorded 262+ passing yards in four of the Bills’ last five Sunday games.
- James Cook has recorded 69+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of the Bills’ last 16 games at Highmark Stadium.
- Josh Allen has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Bills’ last five December games.
- Josh Allen has recorded 23+ completions in four of the Bills’ last five home games against AFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has thrown three or more touchdowns in six of the Bills’ last seven home games against AFC East opponents.
- Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Drake Maye has recorded 222+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last three games played on the East Coast.
- Kendrick Bourne has recorded 30+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight road appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four appearances against teams with a winning record.
- Austin Hooper has recorded 22+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 December road appearances.
- Antonio Gibson has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of his five previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC East opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Patriots’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Kyle Dugger is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Bills, but I’m probably not touching this one. Buffalo is cooking right now and coming off a nice road win over a very good Lions team. The Bills won in a high-octane (and relatively mistake-free) shootout, notching 559 yards with 28 first downs. The defense gave up 521 yards (473 passing) and 30 first downs along the way, though. Buffalo has posted 30 or more points in eight straight games now (a 7-1 run).
As for New England, they just can’t seem to score. The Patriots had some extra prep time for the Cardinals last weekend but still came up with just 17 first downs and 311 yards on offense (195 passing) for a measly 17 points. New England has been below 26 points in every game so far this year. On paper at least, there’s no way they’ll keep any kind of pace on the scoreboard during a road game versus Buffalo’s offense.