In this article, we will formulate a Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 13th at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup.
Carolina Panthers Betting Preview
The Carolina Panthers are 1-4 this season after they lost to Chicago by a score of 36-10 last week. Carolina led 7-0 early in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 30 points in the blowout loss. The Panthers were outgained by a total of 424-292, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 3-12 on third down in the game. Andy Dalton threw for 136 yards and one interception, while Chuba Hubbard rushed for 97 yards and one score.
Carolina also has losses against New Orleans, Los Angeles, and Cincinnati, but they do have one win against the Raiders. The Carolina offense has scored 16.6 points per game with 180.4 passing yards and 110.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 33 points per game this season. The Panthers have gone 28.3% on third down and 4-12 on fourth down so far this season. Andy Dalton has completed 65.1% of his passes for 675 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Chuba Hubbard has rushed for 393 yards and two scores.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons are 3-2 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay in overtime by a score of 36-30 in their last game. Atlanta trailed twice in the fourth quarter, but they were able to tie the game as time expired and won very quickly in overtime. The Falcons outgained Tampa Bay by a total of 550-333, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Kirk Cousins threw for 509 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Drake London caught 12 passes for 154 yards and one score.
Atlanta also has wins against New Orleans and Philadelphia, while picking up losses against Pittsburgh and Kansas City. The Atlanta offense has scored 22.2 points per game with 260.6 passing yards and 96.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23 points per game this season. The Falcons have gone 30.8% on third down and 5-9 on fourth down through five games. Kirk Cousins has completed 67.2% of his passes for 1,373 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Bijan Robinson has rushed for 285 yards and one score.
Why the Falcons will cover
- The Panthers have lost each of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Falcons have won each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage against the Panthers.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Falcons have covered the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest advantage against the Panthers.
- The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Week 6 games.
- The Falcons have won the first quarter in each of their last six Week 6 games.
- The Panthers have lost the first half in each of their last eight games following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Panthers’ last 12 games as home underdogs following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Falcons’ last eight road games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between NFC South teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Carolina Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Adam Thielen has recorded 76+ receiving yards in each of his last six October appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
- Chuba Hubbard has recorded 92+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Panthers’ last five games against NFC South opponents.
- Adam Thielen has scored a touchdown in each of his last six Week 6 appearances.
- Chuba Hubbard has recorded 64+ rushing yards in each of the Panthers’ last five games following a road loss.
- Andy Dalton has recorded 229+ passing yards in nine of his 10 previous Week 6 appearances.
- Andy Dalton has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of his last five Sunday home appearances.
- Andy Dalton has recorded 21+ completions in nine of his 10 previous Week 6 appearances.
- Troy Hill is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 238+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC South opponents.
- Drake London has scored a touchdown in three of the Falcons’ last four games.
- Kyle Pitts has recorded 35+ receiving yards in seven of the Falcons’ last eight October games as favorites.
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 56+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last four games.
- Tyler Allgeier has recorded 39+ rushing yards in 10 of the Falcons’ last 12 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 22+ completions in 22 of his last 24 October appearances against NFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight appearances in October.
- Heading into Week 6, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (42 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Panthers rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (33.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Panthers rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (93.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks (5.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Falcons rank 31st in the NFL in time of possession per game (26:20) this season.
Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup after picking up a huge overtime win last week and they are looking for their third straight win here. The Falcons are starting to play better on the offensive side of the ball and should take advantage of a Carolina team that has allowed 70 points in their last two games. Carolina has been a mess defensively so far this year and their offense took a step back last week against Chicago.
I do think the Panthers can find success in this game against the Atlanta defense, but I think they are going to really struggle to get stops against Cousins and the Atlanta offense. Take the Falcons to pull away in the second half for the cover.