The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears meet Saturday in NFL action from Soldier Field in Chicago. Here’s a Bears vs Packers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Packers pick.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Packers opened on a 2-1-1 run with wins over the Lions and Commanders followed by a loss to the Browns and a tie versus the Cowboys. After the bye Green Bay beat the Bengals, Cardinals and Steelers before losses to the Panthers and Eagles. The Packers would then beat the Giants, Vikings, Lions and Bears on the way to a 9-3-1 overall run across their first 13 games of the season.
In the Broncos game on Sunday, the Packers held a modest 16-14 edge at halftime. Green Bay managed to score in every quarter but still lost 34-26 in the end. QB Jordan Love had a 24-of-40 line for 276 yards, one TD and one pick. Josh Jacobs added 12 carries for 73 yards and a score while Matthew Golden had three catches for 55 yards.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
Over on the Bears’ side, they went into the bye at 2-2 thanks to wins over the Cowboys and Raiders after losses to the Vikings and Lions. Chicago lost to only the Ravens and Packers over the next nine games, otherwise beating the Commanders, Saints, Bengals, Giants, Vikings, Steelers and Eagles. That would give Chicago a 9-4 overall record in their first 13 outings of the year.
Matched up against Cleveland on Sunday the Bears scored 14 points in both the first and third quarters on the way to a 31-3 blowout win at home. Caleb Williams had a 17-of-28 result for 242 yards and two touchdowns while lead rusher D’Andre Swift had 18 carries for 98 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Luther Burden led the receivers on 84 yards from six catches.
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Bears have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have lost three of their last four games as favorites without Malik Willis.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites without Malik Willis.
- The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last five games at Soldier Field following a home win.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in eight of the last 10 games between the Packers and Bears.
- The Bears have won the first half in each of their last four games at Soldier Field following a home win.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six home games.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last eight road games against the Bears following a loss.
- The Bears have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against NFC North opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Bears’ last nine Week 16 games.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 16 games as home underdogs.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in five of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last seven December games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against NFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Packers’ last six road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Bears’ last four games against the Packers following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eleven of the last 14 games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Monangai has scored a touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 220+ passing yards in four of the Bears’ last five home games.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 18+ completions in nine of the Bears’ last 10 games against NFC North opponents.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last six games against NFC opponents.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 28+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NFC opponents.
- Rome Odunze has recorded 37+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last 11 games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
- Heading into Week 16, Kevin Byard ranks 1st in the NFL in interceptions (6) this season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Jordan Love has recorded 234+ passing yards in four of the Packers’ last five games against the Bears.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last nine games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous December appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Romeo Doubs has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last five games as road favorites.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of his last seven December appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Heading into Week 16, Romeo Doubs has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 4).
Matchup/League Facts
- Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
- Bears – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
- Packers – six different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
- Packers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
Bears vs Packers Prediction
I’ll stick with the Packers, but you could call this one either way. It’ll be a good game. Green Bay fell victim to a charmed Broncos team last weekend, giving up 391 yards, 302 pass yards and 21 first downs—but did pretty well on third downs with a 4-of-11 result defensively. The offense had a couple of interceptions and the team committed 10 overall penalties in a fairly sloppy effort. The loss snaps a four-game win streak but Green Bay has still scored 23 or more points in five straight.
The last time these teams met up back on December 7 in Green Bay, the Packers recorded a 28-21 win. In that one Green Bay had a nice offensive day on 337 yards, 6.5 yards per play, 17 first downs and 8-of-12 on third-down tries. Chicago gained 315 yards on the other side with 21 first downs and 8-of-16 on third downs. This rematch is sure to be another close one if both teams play to their capabilities.