The Los Angeles Rams and the Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL Playoffs Divisional Round action from Soldier Field. Here’s a Bears vs Rams prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Rams pick.
Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview
The Rams opened up the season on a fairly shaky 3-2 run over their first five games, taking losses to the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers in that time. Los Angeles would then hit a six-game win streak over the Ravens, Jaguars, Saints, 49ers, Seahawks and Buccaneers before a loss to the Panthers. After a 3-2 run to finish off the regular season, the Rams finished with a 12-5 record and a playoff berth.
In the Wild Card Round matchup versus the Carolina Panthers last weekend, the Rams were up by a field goal heading into the fourth quarter. After a wild final frame with a couple of touchdowns on both sides, LA emerged with a 34-31 win. QB Matthew Stafford finished with a 24-of-42 line for 304 yards, three scores and a pick while Kyren Williams and 57 yards on 13 carries. Puka Nacua led the receivers on 10 grabs for 111 yards and a score.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
Over on the Bears’ side, they lost their first two games this season, then hit a very nice 9-1 run that featured victories over the Cowboys, Raiders, Commanders, Saints, Bengals, Giants, Vikings, Steelers and Eagles. Chicago finished off the regular season on a spotty 2-3 run though, taking losses to the Packers, 49ers and Lions during that time. In the end the Bears held an 11-6 record through those 17 regular-season games.
Matched up against the rival Packers once again in the Wild Card Round, the Bears were in major trouble heading into the fourth quarter trailing 21-6. Chicago unleashed a 25-6 advantage the rest of the way however, resulting in an improbable comeback win 31-27. QB Caleb Williams had a 24-of-48 line with 361 yards, two scores and two picks. Tops in receiving was Colston Loveland with 137 yards on eight grabs and D’Andre Swift led the rush with 13 carries for 54 yards and a score.
Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Divisional Round
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Bears have won each of their last seven games at Soldier Field following a home win.
- The Rams have lost 17 of their last 19 road games against NFC North opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Rams’ last seven postseason games.
- The Rams have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games without Darious Williams.
- The Bears have won the first quarter in four of their last six January games as underdogs.
- The Rams have lost the first half in seven of their last eight road games against NFC North opponents.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Sunday home games.
Why the Los Angeles Rams will win
- The Bears have lost each of their last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Rams have won each of their last six Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rams have covered the spread in 15 of their last 17 Sunday games as favorites.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 January games as underdogs.
- The Rams have won the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NFC West opponents.
- The Rams have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rams’ last eight road games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Bears’ last six home games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the last six Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Bears’ last six games as underdogs against teams that held a winning record.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Bears’ last three games.
- Kyle Monangai has recorded 48+ rushing yards in four of the Bears’ last five games following a win.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 242+ passing yards in four of the Bears’ last five games.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 15+ receiving yardsin 18 of his 19 appearances with his team as an underdog in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 14+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with the Bears as underdogs following a win.
- Kevin Byard ranked 1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) during the reg. season.
Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts
- Colby Parkinson has scored the last touchdown in each of the Rams’ last three January games.
- Puka Nacua has scored two touchdowns in three of the Rams’ last four road games.
- Colby Parkinson has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of the Rams’ last eight games.
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 298+ passing yards in nine of his 10 previous January road appearances.
- Kyren Williams has recorded 69+ rushing yards in 11 of the Rams’ last 12 road games against NFC opponents.
- Kyren Williams has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Rams’ last six road games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 23+ completions in 14 of the Rams’ last 15 games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven road appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Matthew Stafford ranked 1st in the NFL in passing yards (4707) during the reg. season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Divisional Round.
- Bears – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Divisional Round.
- Rams – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Divisional Round.
- Rams – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Divisional Round.
Bears vs Rams Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Bears, but you could call this one either way. It should be another great (and close) game. Chicago found some late magic in their win over the Pack last weekend, posting 445 yards on offense (352 passing) with 5.8 yards per play, 24 first downs, 10-of-19 on third downs and two picks. The defense gave up a lot through the air (322 yards) but held pretty strong on third downs (6-of-15). Chicago averaged 25.9 points per game in the regular season while giving up 24.4 points per game on the other side—this one may be tight.
As for LA, they logged 411 yards (295 passing) with 5.7 yards per play and 21 first downs in their win over Carolina. The Rams were pretty bad on third downs (3-of-13) but the defense kept the team in the game with a couple of takeaways and 5-of-12 allowed on third downs. Los Angeles’ last three road games have each been decided by three points or fewer (a 1-2 run) but the victory over the Panthers last weekend should give the team some confidence heading into Soldier Field.