In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 6th at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 5 matchup.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals are 1-3 this year after they defeated Carolina by a score of 34-24 last week. Cincinnati led 21-14 at the half and 31-14 in the third quarter but did have to fight off a pesky Carolina team in the fourth. The Bengals were outgained by a total of 375-373, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 7-13 on third down in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 232 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Chase Brown rushed for 80 yards and two scores on 15 carries.
Cincinnati started the season with three straight losses against New England, Kansas City, and Washington, before bouncing back with a win last week. The Cincinnati offense has scored 25.5 points per game with 236 passing yards and 102.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26 points per game this season. The Bengals have gone 44.7% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down so far this season. Joe Burrow has completed 70.9% of his passes for 978 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 19 passes for 300 yards and three scores.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 2-2 this season after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 35-10 in their last game. Baltimore led 21-3 at halftime but did see their lead shrink to 21-10, before pulling away for the win. The Ravens outgained Buffalo by a total of 427-236, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-9 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 156 yards and two touchdowns, while Derrick Henry rushed for 199 yards and one score.
Baltimore defeated Dallas by a score of 28-25 in the game prior to Buffalo, but they lost their first two games against Kansas City and Las Vegas. The Baltimore offense has scored 26.5 points per game with 209.3 passing yards and 220.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22 points per game this season. The Ravens have gone 44.2% on third down and 2-3 on fourth down through four games. Lamar Jackson has completed 66.7% of his passes for 858 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 480 yards and five scores.
Why the Ravens will beat the Bengals
- The Bengals have lost seven of their last eight October games against AFC opponents.
- The Ravens have won each of their last six games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against AFC North opponents.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Bengals.
- The Ravens have won the first quarter in each of their last six Week 5 games against AFC North opponents.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last eight games as road favorites against AFC North opponents.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Bengals’ last nine games as underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Ravens’ last four October games against AFC North opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Mike Gesicki has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three October appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Tanner Hudson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last eight home appearances.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 281+ passing yards in each of his last four Sunday regular-season appearances with the Bengals as home underdogs.
- Zack Moss has recorded 57+ rushing yards in each of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Zack Moss has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last four regular-season appearances with the Bengals as home underdogs.
- Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last seven Sunday regular-season appearances with the Bengals as home underdogs.
- Ja’Marr Chase ranks 1st in the NFL in 20+ yards receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 13 of his last 14 Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Isaiah Likely has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last seven regular season games against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 109+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 Sunday appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 252+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances following a win.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 102+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in three of the Ravens’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown three touchdowns in two of his three previous Sunday appearances at Paycor Stadium.
- Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (480) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bengals rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (58.4) this season.
- The Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (11.3) this season.
- The Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (429.5) this season.
- The Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (220.3) this season.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Baltimore has won two games in a row and they have bounced back from that rough start, but they are in for a tough divisional battle here. The Ravens have the best rushing attack in the NFL right now and Henry went crazy against the Bills, so Cincinnati will have their hands full here. The Bengals did pick up their first win of the season last week, but I have some major concerns about their defense. Cincinnati has allowed 24, 33, and 25 points in their last three games and will now have to defend one of the best offenses in the NFL. Take the Ravens to cover the number on the road.