In this article, we will formulate a Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 27th at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
The Cleveland Browns are 1-6 this season after they lost to Cincinnati by a score of 21-14 in their last game. Cleveland trailed 7-6 at halftime, but they allowed 14 points in the second quarter for the loss. The Browns outgained Cincinnati by a total of 336-223, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 8-19 on third down in the game. Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for 82 yards on 11 completions, while Cedric Tillman caught eight passes for 81 yards in the game.
Cleveland also has losses against Dallas, Las Vegas, Washington, Philadelphia, and the Giants, but they do have one win against Jacksonville in their second game. The Cleveland offense has scored 15.6 points per game with 159.6 passing yards and 94.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.1 points per game this season. The Browns have gone 23.7% on third down and 11-18 on fourth down so far this season. With Deshaun Watson out, the Browns will turn to Jameis Winston under center for this game.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 5-2 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 41-31 in their last game. Baltimore trailed 10-0 in the second quarter, but they scored the next 34 points to pull away for the win. The Ravens outgained TB by a total of 508-481, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 3-8 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 281 yards and five touchdowns, while Derrick Henry rushed for 169 yards on 15 carries.
Baltimore has also defeated Dallas, Buffalo, Cincinnati, and Washington, but they did lose their first two games against Kansas City and Las Vegas. The Baltimore offense has scored 31.1 points per game with 250.6 passing yards and 210.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.7 points per game this season. The Ravens have gone 50% on third down and 4-5 on fourth down through seven games. Lamar Jackson has completed 68.2% of his passes for 1,810 yards, 15 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 873 yards and eight scores.
Why the Browns will cover
- The Browns have won seven of their last eight games at Huntington Bank Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Ravens have lost each of their four previous Week 8 games against AFC North opponents.
- The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 October games against AFC North opponents.
- The Browns have won the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has won the first half in five of the last six games between the Ravens and Browns.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in 16 of their last 18 home games against AFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last seven games as road favorites following a road win has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Browns’ last five home games against AFC North opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of the last 12 Sunday games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances with the Browns as home underdogs.
- David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 186+ passing yards in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 41+ rushing yards in each of his 14 previous appearances following a home loss.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in 24 of his last 25 regular season appearances.
- Nick Chubb has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four October appearances with the Browns as underdogs.
- Deshaun Watson has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of his three previous Week 8 appearances.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 18+ completions in 21 of his last 22 appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 8, Deshaun Watson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (13.3%) this season.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances.
- Mark Andrews has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of his last six road appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 252+ passing yards in six of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 96+ rushing and receiving yards in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last three Sunday games.
- Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in three of the Ravens’ last four Sunday games.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 92+ rushing yards in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown four or more touchdowns in each of the Ravens’ last two road games.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in 13 of his last 16 appearances following a road win.
- Heading into Week 8, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (873) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 8, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (253.9) this season.
- Heading into Week 8, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (37.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 8, the Ravens rank T1st in the NFL in points per game (31.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 8, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (461.4) this season.
Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Baltimore rolls into this game on a five-game winning streak and they have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. The Ravens have looked very good on offense, but their defense has allowed 31, 23, and 38 points in their last three. Cleveland has lost five games in a row, but they have been close with the Bengals and Eagles in their last two games. The Browns will have Jameis Winston under center, who will be better than Watson, so I am interested to see how their offense looks against a struggling Baltimore defense. This is a lot of points for a divisional game and I like having more than a touchdown in my back pocket at home. Take Cleveland here.