The San Francisco 49ers and the Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in NFL action from Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Browns vs 49ers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Browns vs 49ers pick.
San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
The 49ers opened up the season with a nice three-game win streak, but they’ve been rather choppy since then. San Francisco took out Seattle, New Orleans and Arizona during that opening span, then hit a 4-4 run over the next eight outings. The wins in that time were over the LA Rams, Atlanta, the New York Giants and Arizona. Otherwise it was losses to Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, Houston and the LA Rams for a 7-4 run through 11 games.
In their Monday matchup with Carolina, the 49ers were able to score points in every quarter, rolling along to a pretty steady 20-9 victory in the end. QB Brock Purdy finished with a 23-of-32 line for 193 yards, one TD and three picks while Christian McCaffrey carried 24 times for 89 yards and a score. George Kittle was the team’s leading receiver with six grabs for 78 yards in the winning effort for San Francisco.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Over on the Browns’ side, they’ve had a pretty rough year. Cleveland only managed to win two of their first 10 games this season, beating Green Bay and Miami. Otherwise it was a string of losses during that time as the Browns fell versus Cincinnati, Baltimore, Detroit, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, New England, the New York Jets and Baltimore. That would give the Browns a rough 2-8 run through 10 games.
Matched up against the Raiders last weekend, Cleveland jumped out to an early 14-0 lead and held a 14-3 edge by the end of the third. After a 10-7 run from there the Browns had a road victory 24-10 in the end. QB Shedeur Sanders had 209 yards with a TD and a pick on 11-of-20 passing, while Quinshon Judkins carried 16 times for 47 yards and two scores. Dylan Sampson topped the team in receiving with two grabs for 59 yards and a touchdown.
San Francisco 49ers @ Cleveland Browns Betting Trends: Week 13
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The 49ers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the 49ers and Browns.
- The 49ers have failed to cover the spread in 15 of their last 17 games following a win.
- The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last four games at Huntington Bank Field.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games.
- The Browns have won the first quarter in each of their last three November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in eight of the last nine games between the 49ers and Browns.
Why the San Francisco 49ers will win
- The 49ers have won each of their last seven games against starting rookie QBs.
- The Browns have lost each of their last six games following a win.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a win.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the 49ers’ last five games.
- The 49ers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
- The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last five Week 13 games against NFC opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last 12 games as underdogs following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the 49ers’ last four Week 13 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Browns’ last seven games against NFC West opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- David Njoku has recorded 29+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances following a win.
- Quinshon Judkins has recorded 95+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last three games against NFC opponents.
- David Njoku has scored a touchdown in four of the Browns’ last five games as underdogs following a road win.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 275+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Heading into Week 13, Myles Garrett ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (18.0) this season.
San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Facts
- Christian McCaffrey has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the 49ers’ last four November games as road favorites.
- Christian McCaffrey has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Brock Purdy has recorded 11+ rushing yards in 14 of his last 15 Sunday appearances with the 49ers as favorites.
- Brock Purdy has recorded 277+ passing yards in five of his last six Sunday appearances with the 49ers as road favorites.
- Demarcus Robinson has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last six November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Christian McCaffrey has recorded 118+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the 49ers as favorites against AFC opponents.
- Christian McCaffrey has scored the first touchdown in three of his four previous road appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Brock Purdy has recorded 22+ completions in six of his last seven Sunday regular season appearances with the 49ers as road favorites.
- Heading into Week 13, Christian McCaffrey is the only player in the NFL to record 5+ rushing and 5+ receiving TDs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 13, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (2870) this season.
- Heading into Week 13, the Browns have suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points this season (4).
- Heading into Week 13, the 49ers rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks (13.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 13, the 49ers rank 1st in the NFL in 1st downs (263) this season.
Browns vs 49ers Prediction
I’ll stick with the 49ers. San Francisco has some areas of potential improvement here following the Carolina game (namely the three picks and tepid 193 pass yards) but they’re coming off a pretty solid effort overall. The defense held the Panthers to just 230 total yards, 12 first downs, 1-of-7 on third downs and 69 rush yards with a couple of interceptions along the way. It was San Francisco’s fourth consecutive game with at least 20 points scored—and probably should have been more.
As for Cleveland, they notched a pretty decent win over a struggling Las Vegas team on Sunday. The Browns committed eight penalties in a sloppy game (21 overall penalties) alongside two turnovers, 11 first downs and a rough 3-of-12 on third-down tries. The defense came up with a lost fumble and allowed just 60 rushing yards, 3.6 yards per play, 19 first downs and 4-of-17 on third downs in addition. It was Cleveland’s highest points total (24) since hanging 31 on the Dolphins during the October 19 game—and also their first win since then. The Browns will have their hands full with the Niners though, even at home.