In this article we will formulate a Colts vs Jaguars prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 28th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 17 matchup.
Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
The Indianapolis Colts are 8-7 this year after they lost to San Francisco by a score of 48-27 in their last game. Indianapolis led 7-0 in the first quarter and they were tied at 14 early in the second, but they were outscored 34-13 the rest of the way for the lopsided loss. The Colts were out gained by a total of 440-312, went 5-10 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Philip Rivers went 23-35 for 277 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jonathan Taylor rushed 16 times for 46 yards and one score. Alec Pierce led the receivers with four catches for 86 yards and two touchdowns in the loss.
Prior to that game, Indianapolis lost to the Seahawks by a score of 18-16 and the Jaguars by a score of 36-19. The Colts have lost five games in a row and they are currently third in the AFC South standings. Indianapolis has scored 27.9 points per game with 230.7 passing yards and 124.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.4 points against per game this season. Philip Rivers has thrown for 397 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 1,489 yards and 17 scores on 288 carries this year.
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 11-4 this season after they defeated Denver by a score of 34-20 in their last game. Jacksonville led 7-0 in the first quarter and 17-10 at halftime, but they were tied at 17 in the third, before scoring 17 straight to pull away with the win. The Jaguars were out gained by a total of 445-346, went 8-15 on third downs, and won the turnover margin by a total of 2-0 in the game. Trevor Lawrence went 23-36 for 279 yards and three touchdowns, while Travis Etienne Jr rushed 16 times for 50 yards. Parker Washington led the receivers with six catches for 145 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Jacksonville defeated the Jets by a score of 48-20 and the Colts by a score of 36-19. The Jaguars have won six games in a row and they are currently first in the AFC South standings. Jacksonville has scored 27.3 points per game with 218.3 passing yards and 118.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.8 points against per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 3,489 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Travis Etienne Jr has rushed for 999 yards and seven scores on 229 carries this season.
Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win
- The favorites have won each of the Jaguars’ last 12 games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
- The Colts have lost each of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last six games without Jordan Akins.
- The Colts have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 17 games.
- The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games.
- The Jaguars have won the first quarter in each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
- The Jaguars have won the first half in each of their last six games as favorites against the Colts.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Jaguars and Colts have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Jaguars’ last six Week 17 road games against AFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of the last four games between AFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts
- Philip Rivers has recorded 22+ completions in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 85+ rushing yards in each of the Colts’ last four home games against AFC South opponents.
- Philip Rivers has recorded 207+ passing yards in 25 of his last 26 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his 11 previous December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Josh Downs has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Colts as home underdogs.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Jonathan Taylor ranks 1st in the NFL in touchdowns (19) this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Jakobi Meyers has scored a touchdown in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 23+ completions in five of the Jaguars’ last six games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 20+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last five road games.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 244+ passing yards in four of the Jaguars’ last five games.
- Jordan Akins has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Jaguars’ last seven games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Trevor Lawrence has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (5 vs Jets, Week 15).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 17, the Colts have played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).
- Heading into Week 17, the Colts have recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 20+ points this season (3).
- Jaguars – seven different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
- Jaguars – five different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
Colts vs Jaguars Prediction
Jacksonville comes into this matchup looking to extend their winning streak and they have scored at least 34 points in three straight games. The Jaguars are one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now and they just beat the Colts by 17 a few weeks ago. Indianapolis is hoping for a better defensive performance, as they allowed 48 last week to the 49ers. The Colts will turn to Philip Rivers once again, who has actually played decently well in his first two starts. I would love to see the Colts get a huge win in this game, but Jacksonville is rolling and I can’t trust the Indianapolis defense. Take the Jaguars here.
David Racey is 101-79 (56%) in the NFL this season and is one of the top NFL cappers on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!