In this article we will formulate a Commanders vs Bears prediction for this NFL game on Monday, October 13th at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders are 3-2 this season after they defeated the Chargers by a score of 27-10 last week. Washington trailed 10-0 in the second quarter, but they scored the last 27 points to run away with the victory. The Commanders out gained LA by a total of 389-336, went 2-7 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 2-1 in the game. Jayden Daniels went 15-26 for 231 yards and one touchdown, while Jacory-Croskey Merritt rushed 14 times for 111 yards and two scores. Deebo Samuel led the receivers with eight receptions for 96 yards and one touchdown in the win. The Washington defense recorded five sacks and six tackles for loss in the victory.
Prior to that game, Washington lost to the Falcons, defeated the Raiders, lost to the Packers, and defeated the Giants. The Commanders are averaging 26.8 points per game with 192.6 passing yards and 156.4 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 20.2 points against per game this season. Jayden Daniels has completed 59.2% of his passes for 664 yards and four touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel has 30 receptions for 300 yards and three scores. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has led the rushing attack with 43 carries for 283 yards and four touchdowns this season.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears are 2-2 this year after they defeated Las Vegas by a score of 25-24 in their last game. Chicago trailed 14-9 at halftime and 24-19 in the fourth quarter, but they scored with 1:34 left to get the victory. The Bears were out gained by a total of 357-271, went 7-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 4-1 in the game. Caleb Williams went 22-37 for 212 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while D’Andre Swift rushed 14 times for 38 yards and one score. Rome Odunze led the receivers with four catches for 69 yards and one touchdown in the win. The Chicago defense recorded zero sacks and five tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that win, Chicago defeated the Cowboys, but did lose to the Lions and Vikings to start the year. The Bears are averaging 25.3 points per game with 225.8 passing yards and 102.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 29.3 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 62.3% of his passes for 927 yards, eight touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Rome Odunze has 20 receptions for 296 yards and five scores. D’Andre Swift has led the ground game with 187 yards and two touchdowns on 56 carries this year.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Bears have lost 10 of their last 11 road games following a win.
- The Commanders have won eight of their last nine October games against the Bears.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last five home games.
- The Bears have lost the first half in 10 of their last 11 road games.
- The home team has won the first quarter in each of the Commanders’ last nine games.
- The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bears’ last four Week 6 games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Commanders’ last four Week 6 games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Deebo Samuel has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 227+ passing yards in each of the Commanders’ last five home games against NFC opponents.
- Zach Ertz has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of his last seven home appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Deebo Samuel has scored the last touchdown in four of the Commanders’ last five games.
- Deebo Samuel has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his nine previous appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
- Deebo Samuel has recorded 76+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six Monday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances following a win.
- Heading into Week 6, Jacory Croskey-Merritt ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (6.6) this season.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of his five previous appearances against the Commanders.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of his last six Monday regular season appearances.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous Monday road appearances.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 21+ receiving yards in nine of his 10 previous October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- D.J. Moore has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Bears’ last five games as underdogs following a win.
- Heading into Week 6, Kevin Byard has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Raiders, Week 4).
Matchup/League Facts
- Commanders – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Commanders – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Heading into Week 6, the Bears rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (29.3%) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Bears rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (7.8) this season.
Commanders vs Bears Prediction
Chicago was able to sneak away with a win against the Raiders last time out and they will look for their third win in a row here. The Bears have had some issues on defense, but their offense has been pretty strong through four games. Washington has alternated wins and losses over their first five games and they continue to deal with some injury problems. The Commanders started very slow last week, but they dominated the Chargers in the second half with a great performance from the running game. I do think the Bears are good enough to beat up on the weaker teams, but they will struggle to get stops against this Washington attack. Take the Commanders to cover at home.
David Racey is 31-17 (65%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!