In this article we will formulate a Commanders vs Giants prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 11th at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 5 matchup.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders are 1-3 this season after they lost to the Colts by a score of 30-13 in their last game. Washington led 6-0 after the first quarter, but they allowed 10 points in each of the last three quarters in the blowout loss. The Commanders out gained the Colts by a total of 317-257, went 2-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Athan Kaliakmanis threw for 186 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Dyami Brown caught three passes for 65 yards. Marcus Mariota rushed one time for 35 yards in the game.
Prior to that loss, Washington defeated the Seahawks by a score of 33-31, but did lose to the Cowboys by a score of 37-20 before that. The Commanders have scored 22.0 points per game with 190.8 passing yards and 124.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 30.5 points against per game this season. Jayden Daniels has thrown for 260 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions this season.
New York Giants Betting Preview
The New York Giants are 3-1 this year after they defeated the Cardinals by a score of 36-24 last week. New York led 19-17 at halftime, but they trailed 24-19 in the third quarter, before scoring the last 17 points to seal the win. The Giants out gained Arizona by a total of 319-270, went 7-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at three in the game. Jameis Winston threw for 250 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions, while Malik Nabers caught six passes for 112 yards and one score. Cam Skattebo rushed 18 times for 58 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, New York defeated the Titans by a score of 12-7, but lost to the Rams by a score of 28-6 before that. The Giants have scored 20.5 points per game with 172.8 passing yards and 110.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 19.8 points against per game this season. Jameis Winston has thrown for 479 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions this year.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Giants have lost each of their last 10 road games following a win.
- Rasul Douglas’ team has won each of its last five games with him playing against Darnell Mooney.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Giants’ last five games.
- The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games played on the East Coast.
- The Giants have lost the first half in nine of their last 10 road games following a win.
- The Commanders have won the first quarter in each of their last six October home games against NFC East opponents.
- The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
Why the New York Giants will win
- The Commanders have lost each of their last seven Week 5 games against NFC opponents.
- The Giants have won each of their last three Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Week 5 home games.
- The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last five Sunday games.
- The Giants have won the first half in seven of their last eight Sunday games at Northwest Stadium.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the Commanders’ last four games.
- The Giants have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight road games against the Commanders.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last seven games against NFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the last 11 Sunday games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Giants’ last eight road games following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in 11 of his 13 previous appearances with his team as a favorite against teams that held a winning record.
- Dyami Brown has recorded 16+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with Jayden Daniels as the starting quarterback.
- Heading into Week 5, Amik Robertson ranks T1st in the league for passes defensed (7) this season.
New York Giants Player Prop Facts
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of his last 13 road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 212+ passing yards in each of his last eight road appearances as a starter.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 19+ completions in six of his last seven road appearances as a starter.
- J.J. McCarthy has scored a touchdown in four of his five previous road appearances.
- Tyrone Tracy has recorded 23+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 Sunday appearances with the Giants as road underdogs.
- Tyrone Tracy has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances with the Giants as road underdogs.
- Heading into Week 5, Jevon Holland ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 5, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (75.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, three different Commanders players have recorded a touchdown pass this season – most in the league.
- Giants – three different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Heading into Week 5, the Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks (3.0) this season.
Commanders vs Giants Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup with a 1-3 record through four games, but they are expected to get Daniels back at quarterback. The Commanders have allowed 30+ points in three straight games, so the defense needs to figure it out. New York is 3-1 and they have beaten up on the Cardinals and Titans in their last two games. The Giants are still using Jameis at quarterback and they have allowed 24+ in three of their four games. Take the over in this one.