The Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action from AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Here’s a Cowboys vs Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Cowboys vs Commanders pick.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Commanders had another tough season in 2025. Washington got off to a reasonably promising 3-2 start, but then hit an eight-game losing streak to fall to 3-10. The Commanders would eventually finish 5-12 overall for a third-place finish in the NFC East. Washington became the first NFL team since the 2002 Arizona Cardinals to lose four consecutive games by at least 21 points.
In their opener versus the Philadelphia Eagles, the Commanders went into the locker room at halftime with a 14-9 deficit. Washington finished off the fourth quarter on a 13-7 advantage but it wasn’t enough in a 24-22 loss. QB Jayden Daniels was 18-of-34 for 164 yards and two touchdowns, while Jacory Croskey-Merritt carried 16 times for 63 yards and a score.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Over on the Dallas side, they didn’t have a great 2025 campaign either. The Cowboys posted their second consecutive losing season at 7-9-1 overall, as well as their second consecutive missed playoffs. Though Dallas finished second in the NFC East it was still a rough run, as the team fell in four of their final five games (with a lone win over Washington) to finish things off.
Matched up against the New York Giants on Sunday night, the Cowboys were down 14-7 as the third quarter began. Dallas gave up a single touchdown in each quarter, resulting in a 28-20 defeat in the end. QB Dak Prescott was 22-of-34 for 175 yards, two touchdowns and one pick. Javonte Williams rushed 12 times for 41 yards and a touchdown for the Cowboys in the defeat.
Why the Dallas Cowboys will win
- The Cowboys have won each of their last 12 games as home favorites against NFC East opponents.
- The Commanders have lost nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games without Terry McLaurin.
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against the Commanders.
- The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last six Week 2 games.
- The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Commanders have lost the first half in 10 of their last 11 September games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Cowboys’ last five games at AT&T Stadium.
- The Cowboys have lost each of their last four Sunday games as favorites.
- The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games without DaRon Bland.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in nine of the Cowboys’ last 10 games at AT&T Stadium.
- The Cowboys have lost the first half in six of their last seven Week 2 home games against NFC opponents.
- The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in five of their last six September games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Cowboys’ last six home openers as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Commanders’ last six games against NFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous appearances with the Cowboys as favorites against NFC East opponents.
- KaVontae Turpin has recorded 12+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last 13 home games.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 293+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four September home games.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 83+ rushing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six home games against NFC opponents.
- KaVontae Turpin has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 home appearances with Dak Prescott as the starting quarterback.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last six Week 2 appearances.
- Heading into Week 2, Javonte Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven road appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine road appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 268+ passing yards in three of the Commanders’ last four road games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Rachaad White has recorded 29+ rushing yards in 13 of his 14 previous appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last nine road appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 19+ completions in five of his last six September appearances.
- Heading into Week 2, Rachaad White ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 2, the Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (4) this season.
- Heading into Week 2, the Cowboys rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
- Heading into Week 2, the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (53.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 2, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction
I’ll take a stab on Washington but this one seems a coin flip. The Commanders didn’t look too bad against the Eagles last weekend despite notching just 163 passing yards and going only 5-of-15 on third-down tries. Washington’s defense gave up 318 yards (182 passing) with only 10 first downs and 6-of-14 on third-down conversions. It wasn’t a terrible showing for a road opener against a good division rival, but still a loss.
As for the Cowboys, they could only muster 244 total yards (69 rushing) in their loss to New York but did manage 21 first downs and a very nice 8-of-11 success rate on third downs. Trouble is, the defense game up 29 first downs and 9-of-11 on third downs on the other side. It was a flag-heavy game, with Dallas posting nine of the 19 overall penalties for 90 yards. There’s plenty to clean up ahead of another divisional matchup this weekend.