The Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions meet Sunday in NFL action from Ford Field in Detroit. Here’s a Lions vs Packers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Lions vs Packers pick.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
Green Bay has had their ups and downs already this season. The Packers started out on a 1-2 run with a win over the New York Jets in between losses to the Minnesota Vikings and the Atlanta Falcons. Green Bay responded with wins over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chicago Bears in the next pair though, resulting in a 3-2 record over the first five outings.
On Sunday night versus the Cowboys, the Packers were looking very good in the first half, posting a couple of touchdowns on the way to a 17-0 halftime lead. After a couple more field goals Green Bay eventually closed out with a 23-13 win. QB Jordan Love was 23-of-41 for 276 yards, one TD and one pick. Matthew Golden caught six balls for 104 yards and a score.
Detroit Lions Betting Preview
Over on the Detroit side, they’ve been a mixed bag as well this year. The Lions opened up the year at 2-1 with a loss to the Buffalo Bills in between wins versus the New Orleans Saints and the New York Jets. Following a loss to the Carolina Panthers and a win over the Arizona Cardinals, Detroit is looking at a 3-2 record coming off their bye week.
Back on October 11 versus the Cardinals, the Lions were down early but then rattled off three second-quarter touchdowns for a 24-7 lead. Detroit kept the pressure up in the second half and walked away with a road win 45-21 in the end. QB Jared Goff was 19-of-30 for 271 yards and three scores. Jahmyr Gibbs had 25 carries for 151 yards and two touchdowns.
Why the Detroit Lions will win
- The Lions have won each of their last nine home games following a road win.
- The Packers have lost each of their last five games without MarShawn Lloyd.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday day games at Ford Field.
- The Lions have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games without Jameson Williams.
- The Lions have won the first quarter in each of their last five home games in October.
- The Lions have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Week 7 home games.
- The Lions have won the first half in each of their last 10 home games following a road win.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last 10 games in October.
- The Lions have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
- The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games following a win.
- The Packers have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs without Jordan Love.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs following a win.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games.
- The Packers have won the first half in each of their last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Lions’ last nine Sunday games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last seven games as road underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the last 10 Sunday day games at Ford Field have gone OVER the total points line.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in eight of the Lions’ last nine home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 45+ receiving yards in six of the Lions’ last seven home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 164+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Lions’ last six Sunday day games as favorites.
- Jared Goff has recorded 327+ passing yards in three of the Lions’ last four games following a win.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 99+ rushing yards in five of the Lions’ last six Sunday day games as favorites.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last 14 games as favorites with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored the last touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four home games.
- Jared Goff has recorded 26+ completions in five of the Lions’ last six day home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Heading into Week 7, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks 1st in the NFL in touchdowns (9) this season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Watson has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Christian Watson has scored two touchdowns in each of his last three appearances in day games against NFC North opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his last 16 Sunday appearances.
- Jordan Love has recorded 12+ rushing yards in five of the Packers’ last six games following a home win.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last six October appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Packers’ last four games following a win.
- Heading into Week 7, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Lions – four different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Lions – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Packers – six different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Heading into Week 7, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (59.8) this season.
Lions vs Packers Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Packers but I could go either way. Green Bay emerged victorious in a sloppy game last Sunday night. The Pack committed 11 of the game’s 22 penalties for 96 yards but made up for it with a very nice 11-of-18 effort on third downs and 318 total yards on offense. Green Bay put up just 57 rush yards on 26 attempts, but to be fair Dallas wasn’t running the ball either (48 rush yards on just 15 attempts). Over these last three games (all wins), Green Bay has held opponents to 14 points or fewer in each outing.
As for Detroit, they didn’t have too much issue with a struggling Cardinals team in their last outing, notching 24 first downs and 412 total yards. The Lions could have been better on thirds (4-of-13) but overall they played pretty well. Detroit has scored 26 or more points in all five games this year so this one could turn into a shootout.