The Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions meet in week 13 NFL action from Ford Field on Thursday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Lions vs Packers Prediction.
Green Bay Packers Recap
The Green Bay Packers come into this game looking to add on to their 23-6 win over Minnesota last time out to sit at 7-3-1 this season. After this game, Green Bay will head home for a game against the Chicago Bears.
Packers Win Back-To-Back Games
Jordan Love has thrown for 2,560 yards, 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 67.7% passing while Josh Jacobs leads Green Bay in rushing with 648 yards and 11 touchdowns. Romeo Doubs leads Green Bay in receiving with 522 receiving yards and 41 catches with 4 TDs while Tucker Kraft has 32 grabs for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns. Matthew Golden also has 24 catches for 286 yards as well this season. On defense, Quay Walker has a team-high 84 total tackles along with 41 solo tackles while Rashan Gary has 7.5 sacks and Micah Parsons has a team-high 10 sacks. Green Bay’s defense as a whole has combined for 29 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won six of their last seven games as underdogs following a Division win.
- The Lions have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a Division win.
- The Lions have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a home win.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Emanuel Wilson has scored a touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four regular season games as underdogs.
- Ty’Ron Hopper has recorded the equal-most defensive targets of any player (2) yet to allow a completion this season.
Detroit Lions Recap
The Detroit Lions come into this game looking to add on to their 34-27 win over the New York Giants last time out to sit at 7-4 this season. After this game, Detroit will head home for a game against the Dallas Cowboys.
Lions Alternate Wins & Losses In 7 Straight
Jared Goff has thrown for 2,769 yards, 23 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 69.3% passing while Jahmyr Gibbs has a team-high 951 rushing yards and 10 TDs while David Montgomery has 511 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Amon-Ra St. Brown leads Detroit in receiving with 75 grabs for 884 yards and 9 touchdowns while Jameson Williams has 562 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns and Sam LaPorta has 489 receiving yards with 3 TDs on 40 catches and Gibbs has 48 catches for 379 yards and 3 TDs. On defense, Jack Campbell has a team-high 108 total tackles along with 4 sacks while Derrick Barnes has 4 sacks and Aidan Hutchinson has a team-high 8.5 sacks to lead the Lions in sacks. Al-Quadin Muhammad has 6 sacks and Kerby Joseph has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Detroit’s defense has combined for 32 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Detroit Lions will win
- The Lions have won each of their last seven games against NFC North opponents on a winning streak.
- The Packers have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Ford Field.
- The favorites have covered the spread in 10 of the Packers’ last 12 Week 13 games.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored the first touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Lions’ last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
- David Montgomery has recorded 55+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous Week 13 appearances.
- David Montgomery has recorded 40+ rushing yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Lions as favorites against NFC North opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 257+ passing yards in 14 of the Lions’ last 15 games as favorites following a home win.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded 86+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last five home games against NFC opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Lions’ last six games against NFC North opponents.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last nine games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Heading into Week 13, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (6.1) this season.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Packers’ last seven games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Lions’ last eight November games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Lions vs Packers Prediction
I’m on Detroit in this one. We’re not used to seeing this level of inconsistency from Detroit under the duo of Goff and Campbell, but I think being at home will help the Lions immensely here. This isn’t the same Lions team from when Green Bay dominated at Lambeau earlier this year, and I think that Detroit gets their revenge in this one. Give me Detroit.