The New York Giants and the Miami Dolphins meet Saturday in NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Here’s a Dolphins vs Giants prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Dolphins vs Giants pick.
New York Giants Betting Preview
New York had a pretty ugly run in 2025. The Giants posted a 4-13 run, which was slightly better than the 3-14 record from 2024. There were a few bright spots: New York beat the rival Eagles (Week 6) and Cowboys (Week 18) as part of their four wins. Still, the Giants missed the playoffs for the third consecutive year and for the 14th time in the last 17 seasons.
In their preseason opener last Saturday versus the Minnesota Vikings, the Giants held a 10-3 lead at halftime. New York got blanked 10-0 in the second half however, and lost 13-10. Jameis Winston threw for 89 yards on 8-of-9 passing while Brandon Allen had 45 yards and two picks. Jaxson Dart added a 3-for-4 line with 26 yards and a score.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
Over on the Miami side, they had a rough year in 2025. The Dolphins couldn’t equal an 8-9 record from the year before. Miami would end up going 7-10 overall, which left them in third place in the division (in front of only the perennial basement-dwelling Jets). The Dolphins started out at just 2-7 but then bagged four straight victories in the middle of the season. It’s been 25 years since the Dolphins have won a postseason matchup, which is the longest active streak in the league.
Matched up against the Washington Commanders last Friday, the Dolphins opened up a seven-point lead in the first quarter, then gave up 17 unanswered points in the second. Miami was kept off the scoreboard the rest of the way in a 20-7 loss. QB Cam Miller posted 39 yards and two picks on 3-of-11 passing while both Ollie Gordon and De’Von Achane (TD) had seven carries for 39 rush yards apiece.
New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
Why the New York Giants will win
- The Giants have won each of their last four games as underdogs without Jason Pinnock.
- The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs without Darius Slayton.
- The Giants have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight games as home underdogs.
- The Giants have lost each of their last 10 September games as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
- The Giants have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 home openers.
- The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last nine season openers.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Giants’ last 12 home openers have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Giants Player Prop Facts
- Cameron Skattebo has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 247+ passing yards in each of his three previous appearances against the Cowboys.
- Tyrone Tracy has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Giants’ last seven Sunday games.
- Calvin Austin has recorded 20+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances on the East Coast.
- Calvin Austin has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last six September appearances.
- Jaxson Dart has recorded 19+ completions in five of his last six Sunday appearances.
- Tremaine Edmunds recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game last season (2 vs Cowboys, Week 3).
Matchup/League Facts
- Giants – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Giants – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Dolphins have won each of their last five season openers against AFC West opponents.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in six of their last seven September games against AFC West opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last six games without Greg Dulcich have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- De’Von Achane has scored a touchdown in five of his last six Sunday road appearances.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 29+ receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 55+ rushing yards in each of his last 12 appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances.
- De’Von Achane ranked 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (5.7) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dolphins – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Dolphins – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
Dolphins vs Giants Prediction
I’ll stick with the Giants, but I’m not going anywhere near this one. New York didn’t look too bad while Dart was out there in the Minnesota game, but couldn’t get any offense going in the second half. The Giants ended up with just 201 yards (131 passing), 3.9 yards per play, 11 first downs and 5-of-13 on third downs. The defense played well overall though with 238 yards allowed (111 rushing) and 4-of-12 on third downs.
As for Miami, they didn’t look great in their first preseason outing versus the Commanders. The Dolphins had just 226 yards on offense (109 passing), 10 first downs, three picks and a rough 3-of-11 success rate on third downs. The defense wasn’t terrible overall but couldn’t get off the field (35:23 in time of possession for Washington). Miami needs to show some life on offense here.