Dolphins vs Lions Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after getting a great win last week over the Vikings, but they suffered quite a few injuries in that one. The Lions have really improved defensively in recent weeks, but they have scored 20 points or fewer in back to back games. Miami is just 1-6 to start the season and they have scored 19 points or fewer in three of their last five games. The Dolphins are not a very talented team and I think they will struggle to keep pace in this one. Take the Lions to cover on the road.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins are 1-6 this season after they lost to the Patriots by a score of 24-19 last week. Miami led 13-3 at halftime, but they were out scored 21-6 in the second half for the tough loss. The Dolphins were out gained by a total of 313-269, went 7-14 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Malik Willis threw for 211 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Ollie Gordon II rushed 19 times for 69 yards. Kevin Coleman Jr caught three passes for 46 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, Miami defeated the Jets by a score of 28-25, but lost to the Bengals by a score of 31-24 before that. The Dolphins have scored 16.7 points per game with 166.7 passing yards and 123.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.9 points against per game this season. Malik Willis has thrown for 1,268 yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions, while Ollie Gordon II has rushed 91 times for 408 yards and four scores. Malik Washington is the leading receiver with 31 catches for 329 yards and one touchdown this season.
Detroit Lions Betting Preview
The Detroit Lions are 5-2 this year after they defeated the Vikings by a score of 19-15 in their last game. Detroit trailed 7-6 at halftime and 15-12 in the fourth quarter, but they scored with 4:35 left to get the win. The Lions out gained Minnesota by a total of 384-266, went 5-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jared Goff threw for 176 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jameson Williams caught four passes for 70 yards and one score. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 23 times for 153 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that victory, Detroit defeated the Packers by a score of 20-17 and the Cardinals by a score of 45-21. The Lions have scored 29.0 points per game with 264.0 passing yards and 131.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.7 points against per game this season. Jared Goff has thrown for 1,964 yards with 15 touchdowns and one interception, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has 53 catches for 571 yards and five scores. Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed 157 times for 773 yards and eight touchdowns this year.
Why the Detroit Lions will win
- The Lions have won each of their last eight games in Florida.
- The Dolphins have lost eight of their last nine games against NFC North opponents on a winning streak.
- The Lions have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games without Jameson Williams.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against NFC North opponents.
- The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight November games against NFC North opponents.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
- The Lions have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine Sunday day games as road favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last seven home games following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Lions’ last eight games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Malik Washington has scored the first touchdown in three of the Dolphins’ last four November games as underdogs.
- Ollie Gordon II has scored a touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last four games following a loss.
- Ollie Gordon II has recorded 88+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last three games following a loss.
- Ollie Gordon II has recorded 88+ rushing yards in each of the Dolphins’ last three games following a loss.
- Malik Washington has recorded 43+ receiving yards in five of the Dolphins’ last six games following a loss.
- Heading into Week 9, Bradley Pinion ranks T9th in the league for fumbles recovered (1) this season.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Lions’ last four day games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Lions’ last six games against AFC East opponents.
- Sam LaPorta has recorded 52+ receiving yards in each of his last six road appearances.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 99+ rushing yards in seven of the Lions’ last eight Sunday day games as favorites.
- Jared Goff has recorded 268+ passing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 143+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Lions’ last eight Sunday day games as favorites.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last 10 day games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dolphins – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Dolphins – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Heading into Week 9, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (395.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Lions rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (276.6) this season.
Positive Trends
As you can see above, we have some very solid trends with the Lions here. Detroit has been dominant in the state of Florida recently and they are 1st in the NFL in yards per game. Miami is just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games against the NFC North and they have been terrible in the first quarter and first half against NFC North opponents in recent matchups. Take Detroit to win and cover here.