Giants vs Commanders Prediction
The Commanders have yet to win a game on the road, and they’re a below-average team on both sides of the ball. Commanders are 20th in both total offense and total defense. No thanks. The Giants have flaws, but they’ve been a team that’s competed all season, and their defense has drastically improved. The Giants are surprisingly fifth in total defense and third in passing defense.
The Giants are coming off huge road wins over the Eagles and Texans, and now they’re in the driver’s seat to win the NFC East. East Rutherford should be rocking, and we know home teams have the edge on a short week. The fact we’re getting this line under a field goal feels like a steal. Almost too good to be true. But I’m not asking questions. Give me the Giants and the small chalk as they continue to have a surprisingly good season. The Giants beat the Commanders for the first time in three years.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders lost to the Rams, beat the Eagles, and they play the Bengals next. The Commanders have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The Commanders are 0-3 SU on the road, 2-2-1 SU at home, and 4-4 ATS on the season. Jayden Daniels is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,250 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Daniels has been sacked 16 times this season. Stefon Diggs has 303 yards and 5 touchdowns on 30 catches. Antonio Williams has 284 yards and 1 touchdown on 26 catches. Chig Okonkwo has 239 yards on 23 catches.
The Washington Commanders’ ground game is averaging 118.3 yards per contest, and Jayden Daniels leads the way with 252 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 25.3 points and 342.3 yards per game. Sonny Styles leads the Commanders with 67 tackles. Odafe Oweh leads the Commanders with 4 sacks. Rasul Douglas leads the Commanders with 2 interceptions.
Giants Betting Preview
The Giants beat the Texans and Eagles, and they play the Jaguars next. The Giants have won 4 of their last 6 games. The Giants are 2-1-1 SU on the road, 3-1 SU at home, and 6-2 ATS on the season. J.J. McCarthy is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 622 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. McCarthy has been sacked 9 times this season. Malik Nabers has 648 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 54 receptions. Isaiah Likely has 448 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns on 46 receptions. Malachi Fields has 288 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 19 receptions.
The Giants average 112.1 rushing yards, and Cam Skatteboo leads the team with 418 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Giants are allowing 21.5 points and 301.4 total yards per game. The Giants have forced 6 turnovers. Arvell Reese leads the Giants with 68 tackles. Dru Phillips leads the Giants with 2 sacks. Jevon Holland leads the Giants with 3 interceptions.
Why the New York Giants will win
- The Commanders have lost each of their last eight November games as underdogs.
- The Giants have won each of their last four home games without Jason Pinnock.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last four home games without Jason Pinnock.
- The Giants have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
- The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven night games against NFC opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the Commanders’ last four games.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Giants have lost each of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have won six of the Giants’ last nine Week 10 games.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four road games without Marcus Mariota.
- The Giants have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Giants have lost the first quarter in each of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against the Giants.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last six road games against NFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Giants’ last five games against the Commanders following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Thursday games at MetLife Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Giants Player Prop Facts
- Isaiah Likely has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Isaiah Likely has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Giants’ last four games against NFC opponents.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 39+ rushing and receiving yards in 17 of his last 18 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 264+ passing yards in three of his four previous Week 10 home appearances.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 21+ completions in seven of his last nine November home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 10, Jordan Stout ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (51.8) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Stefon Diggs has scored a touchdown in each of his last five November road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous November appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 November road appearances.
- Marcus Mariota has recorded 28+ rushing yards in five of his last six regular season night road appearances.
- Marcus Mariota has recorded 213+ passing yards in six of his eight previous regular season night road appearances.
- Marcus Mariota has recorded 19+ completions in seven of his eight previous regular season night road appearances.
- Heading into Week 10, Tim Settle ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 10, the Giants rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (51.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 10, the Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage against (78.9%) this season.
- Heading into Week 10, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (31.1%) this season.
- Heading into Week 10, three different Commanders players have recorded a touchdown pass this season- the most in the league.