In this article, we will formulate a Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, January 5th at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 18 matchup.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers are 11-5 this year after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 27-25 in their last game. Green Bay trailed 27-10 to start the fourth quarter, but they did fight back and make it close late before Minnesota sealed the game with a first down. The Packers were outgained by a total of 441-271, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 8-14 on third down in the game. Jordan Love threw for 185 yards and one score, while Josh Jacobs rushed for 69 yards and one touchdown in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Packers defeated the Saints by a score of 34-0 and the Seahawks by a score of 30-13. Green Bay has won five of their last seven games and four of their losses this season have been against the Lions and Vikings. The Green Bay offense has scored 27.4 points per game with 226.4 passing yards and 144.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.6 points per game this season. Jordan Love has completed 63.2% of his passes for 3,320 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Josh Jacobs has rushed for 1,285 yards and 14 scores this year.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears are 4-12 this season after they lost to Seattle by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Chicago tied the game at three in the second quarter, but they couldn’t find any more offense in the game for the loss. The Bears were outgained by a total of 265-179, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-15 on third down in the game. Caleb Williams threw for 122 yards and one interception, while DJ Moore caught six passes for 54 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, the Bears lost to Detroit by a score of 34-17 and the Vikings by a score of 30-12. Chicago has lost 10 games in a row and they are last in the NFC North standings. The Chicago offense has scored 17.9 points per game with 184.1 passing yards and 103.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.8 points per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 61.9% of his passes for 3,393 yards, 19 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while D’Andre Swift has rushed for 894 yards and five scores this year.
Why the Packers will beat the Bears
- The Bears have lost each of their last 20 Sunday road games.
- The Packers have won each of their last 15 games against the Bears following a loss.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight January games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against the Bears.
- The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last nine games as favorites.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last seven games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Bears’ last 10 road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last four games following a loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 92+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last seven games as favorites.
- Jordan Love has recorded 273+ passing yards in each of the Packers’ last three home games against NFC North opponents.
- Jayden Reed has recorded 83+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four home games against NFC North opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last seven games.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 73+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances following a loss.
- Jordan Love has recorded 22+ completions in eight of his last nine Sunday home appearances.
- Heading into Week 18, Josh Jacobs has recorded the equal-most rushing attempts in a single game this season (32 vs Colts, Week 2).
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- Keenan Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bears’ last four games against NFC North opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games following a home loss.
- D’Andre Swift has scored the last touchdown in three of his four previous January appearances against NFC North opponents.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last nine games against NFC North opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 231+ passing yards in four of the Bears’ last five games against NFC North opponents.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last eight games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
- Caleb Williams has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Bears’ last five Sunday games as underdogs.
- Kevin Byard is just one away from 30 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 18, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (2.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (287.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 18, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 points per game (1.3) this season.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction
Green Bay comes into this game with a playoff spot already clinched, but they are still playing for seeding, so they should be playing all of their starters. The Packers have had a great season against everyone not named the Lions or Vikings, but they did only beat Chicago by one point earlier this season. Chicago is on a long losing streak and their offense has been pretty bad over the last four weeks. Chicago is 0-7 on the road so far this season and I just don’t see them being motivated to stay in this game. The Packers should be able to move the ball up and down the field in this game, while the defense should be fine against this low-scoring Chicago offense. Take Green Bay to win by double digits here.