The Dallas Cowboys and the Green Bay Packers meet Sunday in NFL action from Lambeau Field in Green Bay. Here’s a Packers vs Cowboys prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Packers vs Cowboys pick.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Dallas has been alternating wins with losses this year in a rocky start. The Cowboys lost to the New York Giants in their opener, then beat the Washington Commanders ahead of another loss 34-31 versus Baltimore. Game four was a win over Houston 34-30 on the road, then came a loss to Tampa Bay. Over five games so far the Cowboys are just 2-3 in the books.
In the Thursday matchup versus the Bucs, the Cowboys managed a TD and a field goal in the first half for a slim lead 10-7 at the break. Dallas gave up 17 unanswered points in the third quarter though, and eventually lost the game 24-16. QB Dak Prescott was 24-of-42 for 316 yards, one TD and two interceptions. Javonte Williams had 12 carries for 45 yards and a TD.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
Over on the Green Bay side, they also opened up the season with a rocky run and alternating wins and losses. The first outing was a 39-22 loss to the rival Minnesota Vikings, then came an overtime victory versus the lowly New York Jets. The Pack followed that up with a loss to the Falcons and a win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for a 2-2 start to the year.
Matched up against the Bears last weekend the Packers got a couple of touchdowns in the first half and went into the break with a 14-7 lead. Green Bay kept it rolling from there and ended up with a nice-looking 31-7 victory against their rivals. QB Jordan Love was 25-of-31 for 367 yards and two scores. MarShawn Lloyd carried 10 times for 31 yards and two scores as well.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last nine games in October.
- The Cowboys have lost seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
- The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games without DaRon Bland.
- The Packers have covered the spread in five of their last six games against the Cowboys.
- The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games against NFC North opponents.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Cowboys’ last four games.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games.
Why the Dallas Cowboys will win
- The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Cowboys and Packers.
- The Packers have lost each of their last three games as favorites without MarShawn Lloyd.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Cowboys and Packers.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without MarShawn Lloyd.
- The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against NFC opponents.
- The Cowboys have won the first quarter in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last five Week 6 games against NFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Cowboys and Packers have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Cowboys’ last six Sunday games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Three of the last four Sunday games at Lambeau Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Watson has scored the first touchdown in four of the Packers’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 22+ completions in four of his last five appearances with the Packers as favorites.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 21+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five regular season appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 10+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Heading into Week 6, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Javonte Williams has scored two or more touchdowns in four of the Cowboys’ last five games as road underdogs.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 276+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five games as underdogs.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Cowboys’ last six games against the Packers.
- Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games as underdogs.
- KaVontae Turpin has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last six October appearances against NFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 14+ rushing yards in five of the Cowboys’ last six games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- KaVontae Turpin has recorded 11+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven October appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 6, KaVontae Turpin ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (549) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Packers – five different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Heading into Week 6, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (60.4) this season.
- Cowboys – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Heading into Week 6, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (168.4) this season.
Packers vs Cowboys Prediction
I’ll stay with the Pack. Green Bay put up a nice statement win against a good Bears team last weekend, despite going a fairly rough 4-of-12 on third downs. The Packers managed 18 first downs with 428 total yards, and held the Bears to just 246 total yards with 4-of-14 on third downs defensively. Green Bay has another comfy home game here and I like them to keep it going.
As for Dallas, they notched another limp effort in their latest loss last Thursday. The Cowboys gave up 419 total yards in that one with 24 first downs and 241 rushing yards. Offensively Dallas managed 366 yards with 20 first downs and three turnovers. Dallas does have 30 or more points in three of five games this year, but they’re hard to trust.