The Denver Broncos and the Houston Texans meet in week 9 NFL action from NRG Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans prediction.
Denver Broncos Recap
The Denver Broncos come into this game looking to build on their 44-24 win over the Dallas Cowboys last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Denver will head home for a game against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Broncos Win 5 Straight
Bo Nix has thrown for 1,803 yards, 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62.8% passing while J.K. Dobbins has rushed for a team-high 634 yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Courtland Sutton leads Denver’s receiving group with 37 receptions for 536 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Troy Franklin also has 33 receptions for 358 yards and 4 touchdowns. Marvin Mims Jr. also has 234 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Alex Singleton has a team-high 70 total tackles while Nik Bonitto has a team-high 8 sacks and Jonathon Cooper has 6 sacks. As a unit, Denver’s defense has combined for 36 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Broncos have won each of their last five games.
- The Texans have lost three of their last four games as favorites before a Division game.
- The Texans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games before a Division game.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in four of their last five games in November.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in five of his last six regular season appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Broncos’ last five regular season games as underdogs.
- Evan Engram has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
- Bo Nix has recorded 215+ passing yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven regular season games as underdogs.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 63+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 regular season appearances.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 regular season appearances.
- Heading into Week 9, Bo Nix ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (2.7%) this season.
Houston Texans Recap
The Houston Texans come into this game looking to add on to their 26-15 win over the San Francisco 49ers to sit at 3-4 this season. After this game, Houston will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars at home.
Texans Win 3 Of Last 4
C.J. Stroud has 1,623 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 66.8% passing while Nick Chubb has rushed for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns as well this season. Woody Marks also has 214 rushing yards while Nico Collins leads Houston’s receivers with 339 receiving yards and 3 TDs and Dalton Schultz has 32 grabs for 308 yards and 2 TDs. Five more Texans have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Kamari Lassiter leads the Texans with 45 total tackles in addition to a pair of interceptions while Jalen Pitre has 3 INTs and Will Anderson Jr. has 5 sacks. As a unit, Houston’s defense has combined for 16 sacks and 8 interceptions up to this point in the year.
Why the Houston Texans will win
- The Broncos have lost 13 of their last 14 road games before a Division game.
- The Texans have won six of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Texans’ last five games.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- Nick Chubb has recorded 43+ rushing yards in each of his last 27 appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 232+ passing yards in each of the Texans’ last seven November games.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Texans’ last five games.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous Week 9 appearances.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 30 appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Heading into Week 9, Ka’imi Fairbairn ranks T2nd in the NFL in made field goals (17) this season.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Broncos’ last 10 November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Texans’ last eight games as home favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Prediction
I’m on the under here. I just think this is a battle between two teams with really solid defenses, and I think that we could be in for a low-scoring game here. The Broncos have done a great job of getting into the opposing backfield this season, and I think that could continue here. Houston’s coaching staff is fantastic in terms of slowing teams down and this is going to be a shock for Denver after games against Dallas and the Giants the last two weeks. Give me the under.