The Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet in week 5 NFL action from EverBank Stadium on Monday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Jaguars vs Chiefs Prediction.
Kansas City Chiefs Recap
The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game looking to add on to their 37-20 win over Baltimore last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, the Chiefs will head home for a game against the Detroit Lions.
Chiefs Win Back-To-Back Games
Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 939 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 61.3% passing while also leading the Chiefs in rushing with 130 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground this season. Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt each have 100+ rushing yards as well this season. Hollywood Brown leads Kansas City with 22 catches for 209 yards while Travis Kelce and Tyquan Thornton each have 182 receiving yards and a touchdown so far this season, with Thornton logging 3 TDs. JuJu Smith-Schuster also has 151 receiving yards and a touchdown for the Chiefs this season. On defense, Nick Bolton has a team-high 34 total tackles including 18 solo tackles while George Karlaftis has a team-high 3 sacks and Drue Tranquill has a pair of sacks so far this season for Kansas City. As a unit, Kansas City has combined for 9 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win
- The Chiefs have won each of their last eight games against the Jaguars.
- The Jaguars have lost each of their last eight October games against AFC West opponents.
- The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Chiefs have covered the spread in five of their last six October road games against AFC South opponents.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Kareem Hunt has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Kareem Hunt has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous Monday appearances.
- Kareem Hunt has recorded 63+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous October appearances with the Chiefs as favorites.
- Kareem Hunt has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four October appearances with the Chiefs as favorites.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 249+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last seven games in Florida.
- Kareem Hunt has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous Monday appearances.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 26+ completions in each of the Chiefs’ last five regular season games against AFC South opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Patrick Mahomes ranks 1st in the league for pass attempts inside the 20 (25) this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Recap
The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game looking to build on their 26-21 win over San Francisco last time out to improve to 3-1 this season. After this game, the Jaguars will take on the Seattle Seahawks at home.
Jaguars Win Back-To-Back Games
Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 845 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 58.3% passing while Travis Etienne Jr. leads the Jaguars on the ground with 394 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Brenton Strange leads Jacksonville with 19 catches for 182 yards while Brian Thomas Jr. has 164 receiving yards. Travis Hunter, Dyami Brown and Parker Washington all have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Foyesade Oluokun has a team-high 30 total tackles while Devin Lloyd has a team-high 3 interceptions. Jacksonville’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win
- The Chiefs have lost each of their last three October games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
- The Jaguars have won each of their last five October games against AFC opponents.
- The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four October road games against AFC opponents.
- The Jaguars have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Brian Thomas has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Jaguars’ last six games as underdogs in Florida.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 273+ passing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four Week 5 games.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of the Jaguars’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 56+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four games.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his seven previous October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Heading into Week 5, Devin Lloyd ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Jaguars’ last eight games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Chiefs’ last seven games as favorites against the Jaguars have gone UNDER the total points line.
Jaguars vs Chiefs Prediction
I’m on the Chiefs here. I get the case to be made for the Jaguars at home, as they clearly have some swagger back in their step in a new system under Liam Coen. However, the Chiefs have come out in recent weeks and shown they’re far from dead. While the win over Baltimore could pose the threat of a letdown spot for KC here, I still think the Chiefs have more to prove and end up getting the win and cover on the road here.