In this article we will formulate a Jaguars vs Texans prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 21st at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup.
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-1 this year after they lost to Cincinnati by a score of 31-27 in their last game. Jacksonville was tied at seven after the first quarter and they led 17-10 at the half, but a back and forth second half ended with the Bengals scoring with 18 seconds left in the game. The Jaguars out gained Cincinnati by a total of 400-350, went 6-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 3-2. Trevor Lawrence went 24-42 for 271 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Travis Etienne Jr rushed 14 times for 71 yards. Parker Washington was the leading receiver for Jacksonville with five catches for 76 yards in the game. The Jacksonville defense recorded three sacks and six tackles for loss in the defeat.
Jacksonville opened the season with a 26-10 win over Carolina at home in week one. The Jaguars are averaging 26.5 points per game with 219.5 passing yards and 169.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 20.5 points against per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has completed 58.9% of his passes for 449 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Dyami Brown has caught eight passes for 109 yards and one score. Travis Etienne Jr is the leading rusher with 30 carries for 214 yards so far this season.
Houston Texans Betting Preview
The Houston Texans are 0-2 this season after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 20-19 last week. Houston led 10-7 after the first quarter, but they trailed 14-10 at the half. The Texans rallied to take a 19-14 lead late in the game, but allowed a touchdown to lose with six seconds left. Houston was out gained by a total of 360-266, went 2-9 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. CJ Stroud went 13-24 for 207 yards and one touchdown, while Nick Chubb rushed 12 times for 43 yards and one score. Nico Collins was the leading receiver with three catches for 52 yards and one score in the loss. The Houston defense recorded four sacks and six tackles for loss in the defeat.
Houston started the season with a 14-9 loss to the Rams on the road in week one. The Texans are averaging 14.0 points per game with 166.5 passing yards and 99.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 17.0 points against per game this season. CJ Stroud has completed 62.7% of his passes for 395 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Nico Collins has caught six passes for 77 yards and one score. Nick Chubb has led the ground game with 25 carries for 103 yards and one touchdown this year.
Why the Jaguars will beat the Texans
- The home team has won each of the Jaguars’ last five games.
- The Texans have lost 15 of their last 16 games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last four games against AFC South opponents.
- The Texans have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games against AFC opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in six of the Jaguars’ last seven games.
- The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Jaguars’ last eight games at EverBank Stadium following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Texans’ last five games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at EverBank Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Tim Patrick has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances on the East Coast.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 262+ passing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 17+ receiving yards in nine of the Jaguars’ last 10 games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
- Travis Etienne has recorded 75+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jaguars’ last three home games.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 17+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last three games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Heading into Week 3, Travis Etienne has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (71 vs Panthers, Week 1).
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- Nick Chubb has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four September appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Texans’ last five September games against AFC opponents.
- Nico Collins has recorded 80+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC South opponents.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 234+ passing yards in each of the Texans’ last five September games against AFC opponents.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 60+ rushing yards in each of his last 12 September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his six previous appearances against the Jaguars.
- Nick Chubb has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Heading into Week 3, Ka’imi Fairbairn ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Jaguars – one different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
- Jaguars – one different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
- Heading into Week 3, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (14.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 3, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (22.2%) this season.
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Jaguars vs Texans Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after picking up disappointing losses last weekend and will try to bounce back here. Houston has looked awful on offense and Stroud has not played well, but their defense has been strong. Jacksonville let Jake Browning beat them last week, so their defense is searching for answers. Both of these teams have some major flaws, but I refuse to back Houston until I see improvement from Stroud. Take the Jaguars here.