The Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs meet in week 17 NFL action from Geha Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction.
Denver Broncos Recap
The Denver Broncos come into this game looking to shake off a 34-20 loss at the hands of the Jacksonville Jaguars to sit at 12-3 on the year. After this game, Denver will head home for a potentially crucial game against the Los Angeles Chargers
Broncos Have Win Streak Snapped
Bo Nix has thrown for 3,608 yards, 24 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 63.2% passing while J.K. Dobbins has rushed for a team-high 772 yards and 4 touchdowns and RJ Harvey has 469 rushing yards so far this season. Courtland Sutton leads Denver’s receiving group with 69 receptions for 972 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns while Troy Franklin also has 61 receptions for 692 yards and 6 touchdowns. Four more Broncos have 300+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Alex Singleton has a team-high 124 total tackles while Nik Bonitto has a team-high 12.5 sacks and Jonathon Cooper has 8 sacks. As a unit, Denver’s defense has combined for 63 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Broncos have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Chiefs have lost each of their last five games without Clyde Edwards-Helaire.
- The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games without Isiah Pacheco.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites without Alex Singleton.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last five games following a loss.
- Bo Nix has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Broncos’ last five games.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 35+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances with the Broncos as favorites following a loss.
- Bo Nix has recorded 295+ passing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games.
- Evan Engram has recorded 29+ receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
- Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with the Broncos as favorites against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, Bo Nix ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (3.0%) this season.
Kansas City Chiefs Recap
The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off of their 26-9 loss at the hands of the Tennessee Titans last time out to sit at 6-9 this season. After this game, Kansas City will head on the road for their season finale against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Chiefs Lose 4 Straight & 6 Of Last 7
Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 3,587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 62.7% passing while also rushing for 422 yards and 5 TDs, but is out for the rest of the season because of injury. Kareem Hunt has rushed for a team-high 559 yards and 8 TDs while Isiah Pacheco has rushed for 430 yards. Travis Kelce leads the Chiefs with 68 catches for 803 yards and 5 TDs while Rashee Rice has 571 receiving yards with 5 TDs and Hollywood Brown has 516 receiving yards with 5 TDs as well. Xavier Worthy has 532 receiving yards and Tyquan Thornton has 438 receiving yards while JuJu Smith-Schuster has 316 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Nick Bolton leads the Chiefs with 133 total tackles while George Karlaftis has a team-high 6 sacks. As a unit, Kansas City’s defense has combined for 31 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 10 games without Michael Danna.
- The Broncos have lost each of their last nine games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Broncos’ last seven games.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites before a Division game.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Kareem Hunt has scored a touchdown in four of the Chiefs’ last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- Xavier Worthy has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last 10 home games against AFC opponents.
- Kareem Hunt has recorded 31+ rushing yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Chiefs as underdogs.
- Kareem Hunt has recorded 34+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Chiefs as underdogs.
- Heading into Week 17, Isiah Pacheco ranks 2nd in the league amongst qualified players for broken tackle percentage (54.5%) this season.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Chiefs’ last 10 games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Broncos’ last seven games in December have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last eight games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I just think that this is a low-scoring game, with this Chiefs’ offense in shambles and now on their third QB in as many weeks. The Broncos just need to get in and out with a win to keep their standing atop the AFC West and the AFC as a whole. I think we have a low-scoring battle here, so give me the under.