Chiefs vs Jets Prediction
I’ll stick with the Chiefs. Kansas City dropped a close one against a good Broncos team over the weekend despite a pretty good offensive day on 399 yards and 22 first downs. The Chiefs’ defense held Denver to a tepid 294 yards and just 2-of-11 on third-down tries in a game that could have gone either way. KC got into trouble with flags though, notching 11 penalties for 105 yards. The Chiefs have dropped consecutive games now, but the great news is that they’ve got a string of three very winnable games coming up.
As for the Jets, they lost the handle late against the Raiders on Sunday and took another loss despite a solid 439 yards and 26 first downs. The third-down conversions weren’t great though (4-of-11) and New York allowed a long kick return score. The good news for the Jets is that they’ve been competitive. Each installment of this three-game losing streak was decided by seven points or fewer. That said, going into Kansas City to face a focused and determined Chiefs team is a tall task.
Game Info, Stats and Previews
The New York Jets and the Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Chiefs vs Jets prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Chiefs vs Jets pick.
New York Jets Betting Preview
The Jets are in the middle of another lost season it seems. New York kicked things off with a promising win over the Tennessee Titans, but then lost to the Packers, Lions and Bears in the next trio of outings. After a win over Cleveland, New York fell to the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins in the two games that followed. In the first seven games the Jets could only muster a 2-5 record.
In their matchup with Las Vegas last weekend the Jets were looking pretty good initially. New York posted two touchdowns and a field goal in the second quarter along the way to a 23-14 edge at the break. The Jets gave up three touchdowns after halftime though and eventually lost a tough one 35-33. QB Geno Smith put up a 20-of-32 line for 290 yards, two scores and a pick. Braelon Allen had 21 carries for 147 yards and a TD. Adonai Mitchell caught seven balls for 142 yards and a TD.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
Over on the Chiefs’ side, they kicked off the season on a very nice run. Kansas City beat Denver in the opener then followed up with wins over Indianapolis, Miami and Las Vegas ahead of an early bye week. The Chiefs came back to a win over the Los Angeles Chargers, then took their first defeat of the season thanks to Seattle 20-3. In their first six games the Cheifs had a 5-1 record on the books.
Matched up against Denver in the rematch last weekend the Chiefs were able to notch a TD and a field goal—but also gave up a TD and a field goal—in the second quarter for a 17-13 halftime tie. Kansas City gave up two fourth-quarter TDs on the way to a tough road loss 28-24. QB Patrick Mahomes put up 321 yards and three scores off 30-of-41 passing. Kenneth Walker had 21 totes for 69 yards and Emmett Johnson had five catches for 128 yards and a TD.
Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 13 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Jets have lost each of their last nine road games without Breece Hall.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without Mason Taylor.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Jets’ last nine Week 9 games.
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games against the Jets.
- The Chiefs have won the first quarter in each of their last six home games against the Jets.
- The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Chiefs have lost five of their last six games as favorites without Jalen Royals.
- The underdogs have won each of the Jets’ last two games.
- The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games in November.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Chiefs’ last seven Week 9 games.
- The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in three of their last four November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chiefs have lost the first half in 17 of their last 21 November games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Chiefs’ last 12 games at Arrowhead Stadium following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Jets’ last eight road games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four Sunday day games at Arrowhead Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Travis Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Chiefs’ last four day games against the Jets.
- Xavier Worthy has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances in day games at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Xavier Worthy has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances in day games at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Kenneth Walker III has scored two touchdowns in three of the Chiefs’ last four games as favorites.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 250+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last 13 November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 14+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last 13 games as home favorites.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Chiefs’ last nine November games at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Heading into Week 9, Kenneth Walker III has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (76 vs Raiders, Week 4).
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in four of the Jets’ last five games as underdogs against teams on a losing streak.
- Geno Smith has recorded 226+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Jets as underdogs following a home loss.
- Geno Smith has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Jets as underdogs following a home loss.
- Tim Patrick has recorded 20+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
- Braelon Allen has recorded 104+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last four games.
- Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in 13 of his last 17 appearances with his team as an underdog following a home loss.
- Heading into Week 9, David Bailey has recorded the equal-most sacks in a single game this season (3.0 vs Browns, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (1.7) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in average points against in third quarters this season (1.7).
- Jets – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Jets – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.