The Houston Texans and the Los Angeles Chargers meet in week 9 NFL action from SoFi Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game.
Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
I’m on the under here. I haven’t been able to trust Houston’s defense for much of the season, but this is a Chargers offense that has only broken through 20+ points once this season. The Chargers have had their own moments at times this season defensively, and I think that their best chance in this game would be to shut down Houston’s offense but I just think however this goes, the result will end up being low-scoring. Give me the under here.
Houston Texans Recap
The Houston Texans come into this game looking to rebound from a 27-21 loss at the hands of the New York Giants last time out to sit at 2-5 this season. After this game, Houston will head on the road for a game against the Cleveland Browns. C.J. Stroud has thrown for 1,867 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 1 interception while completing 64.8% of his passes to lead the Houston Texans passing attack, backed by 160 completions on 247 attempts through seven games played. The Texans’ ground game is spearheaded by Woody Marks, who rushes for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns on 77 carries, followed closely by David Montgomery with 138 yards and 2 scores on 52 carries, C.J. Stroud adding 80 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 18 attempts, Jawhar Jordan chipping in 43 yards and 1 score on 6 carries, and Jaylin Noel adding 26 yards on 4 rushing attempts. Through the air, Jaylin Noel leads the receiving corps with 331 yards and 2 touchdowns on 19 catches, while Nico Collins adds 329 yards and 3 scores on 24 receptions, Dalton Schultz logs 322 yards on 33 catches, Xavier Hutchinson adds 258 yards and 1 score on 21 receptions, and Kayshon Boutte rounds out key targets with 194 yards on 15 catches. Defensively, Azeez Al-Shaair anchors the Texans squad by logging a team-high 58 total tackles over six games. Altogether, the Texans’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 21 sacks, 131 yards lost, and 35 pass deflections while also coming away with 3 total interceptions.
Why the Houston Texans will win
- The Chargers have lost each of their last 10 games.
- The Texans have won each of their last 11 games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games.
- The Texans have covered the spread in five of their last six road games without Derek Stingley Jr..
- The Texans have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
- The Chargers have lost the first half in nine of their last 10 games.
- The Chargers have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against AFC South opponents.
Los Angeles Chargers Recap
The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game looking to shake off a 24-9 loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams last time out to slip to 0-7 this season. After this game, the Chargers will head on the road for a game against the Baltimore Ravens. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,398 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions while completing 61.8% of his passes to lead the Los Angeles Chargers passing attack, backed by 131 completions on 212 attempts through seven games played. The Chargers’ ground game is spearheaded by Omarion Hampton, who rushes for 309 yards and 3 touchdowns on 89 carries, followed closely by Justin Herbert with 183 yards on 33 carries, Keaton Mitchell adding 145 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 39 attempts, and Kimani Vidal chipping in 132 yards and 1 score on 29 carries. Through the air, Ladd McConkey leads the receiving corps with 286 yards and 1 touchdown on 17 catches, while Tre’ Harris adds 256 yards and 2 scores on 18 receptions, Quentin Johnston logs 202 yards on 12 catches, Oronde Gadsden TE adds 155 yards and 1 score on 17 catches, and Charlie Kolar TE rounds out key targets with 98 yards on 10 catches. Defensively, Daiyan Henley anchors the Chargers squad by logging a team-high 41 total tackles over seven games. Altogether, the Chargers’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 12 sacks, 65 yards lost, and 23 pass deflections while also coming away with 6 total interceptions.
Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win
- The Chargers have won each of their last 10 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Texans have lost each of their last six games without Jadeveon Clowney.
- The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without Jadeveon Clowney.
- The Texans have lost the first quarter in four of their last five November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have won the first half in nine of their last 10 Week 9 games.