The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Los Angeles Rams meet Sunday in NFL action from SoFi Stadium. Here’s a Rams vs Buccaneers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rams vs Buccaneers pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
The Buccaneers got off to a nice 5-1 start this year, losing to only the Philadelphia Eagles during that time. Tampa Bay otherwise dispatched the Atlanta Falcons, Houston Texans, New York Jets, Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers along the way. A 1-2 run came next with a lone win over the New Orleans Saints in between losses to the Detroit Lions and New England Patriots. In the November 9 loss to New England 28-23, the Bucs scored in every quarter but also gave up points in every quarter. Tampa Bay’s defense surrendered 435 total yards with 7.4 yards per play but only 16 first downs and 5-of-14 on third-down attempts.
On Sunday in their last outing versus the Buffalo Bills, Tampa Bay scored points in every quarter, including 17 in the second. Unfortunately the Bucs also gave up points in every quarter along the way to a 44-32 loss. QB Baker Mayfield was 16-of-28 for 173 yards, one TD and one pick while also rushing in a TD. Sean Tucker topped the run with 19 carries for 106 yards and two scores, while Sterling Shepard had four grabs for 54 yards in the defeat.
Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview
Over on the Rams’ side, they went 3-2 over their first five games with losses to the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers among wins over the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans. Wins over the Baltimore Ravens, Jacksonville Jaguars, New Orleans Saints and San Francisco 49ers came next. The Rams took out the Niners 42-26 on November 9, notching 401 total yards, 31 first downs, 6.0 yards per play and 5-of-9 on third downs along the way. Los Angeles played a disciplined game with no penalties in that one.
Matched up against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday, the Rams held a 14-12 edge going into the final quarter. After exchanging touchdowns Los Angeles posted a tight 21-19 victory. QB Matthew Stafford finished with a 15-of-28 line for 130 yards and two scores while Kyren Williams had 91 yards and a score off 12 carries. Puka Nacua caught seven balls for 75 yards as the Rams’ leading receiver in the victory effort.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends: Week 12
Why the Los Angeles Rams will win
- The Rams have won each of their last 18 Sunday games as favorites.
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last nine games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Rams have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 Sunday games as favorites.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Week 12 games as road underdogs.
- The Rams have won the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rams have won the first half in each of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rams have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 11 games against NFC South opponents.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Buccaneers and Rams.
- The Rams have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
- The Rams have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games in November.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games following a road loss.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in four of the Rams’ last five Week 12 games.
- The Buccaneers have won the first half in seven of their last eight November road games against NFC West opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rams’ last six Sunday games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of the Buccaneers’ last 10 November games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the last eight Sunday games at SoFi Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts
- Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 12 home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Kyren Williams has recorded 66+ rushing yards in each of his last 12 Sunday home appearances.
- Tyler Higbee has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances following a home win.
- Kyren Williams has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 16 appearances against NFC opponents.
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 280+ passing yards in each of the Rams’ last six games as favorites following a home win.
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 26+ completions in three of his four previous home appearances against the Buccaneers.
- Heading into Week 12, Davante Adams ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (10) this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 215+ passing yards in five of the Buccaneers’ last six games as underdogs.
- Bucky Irving has scored a touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances against NFC opponents.
- Bucky Irving has recorded 44+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NFC opponents.
- Rachaad White has scored the last touchdown in three of the Buccaneers’ last four games played on the West Coast.
- Rachaad White has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games against NFC West opponents.
- Bucky Irving has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 appearances against NFC opponents.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 20+ completions in six of his last seven November road appearances.
- Heading into Week 12, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 12, the Rams have given up the equal largest lead to win a game this season – 19 points vs Eagles.
- Heading into Week 12, the Rams have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 10+ points this season (5).
- Heading into Week 12, the Buccaneers have recorded six consecutive games with an interception – longest streak in the league.
- Heading into Week 12, the Buccaneers have lost the third quarter in each of their last two games – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Rams vs Buccaneers Prediction
I’ll go with the Bucs here, but you could make a case either way. Tampa Bay had a pretty good offensive day versus the Bills over the weekend (minus the two turnovers) but couldn’t keep up on the scoreboard. The Buccaneers finished with 367 total yards, 202 rush yards, 5.4 yards per play, 21 first downs and 9-of-16 on third-down tries. On defense Tampa surrendered 414 yards with 7.8 yards per play, 19 first downs and 6-of-11 on third downs—but did have a trio of takeaways. Tampa Bay has 23 or more points in three straight games now, but they’ve also given up a combined 72 points in their last two outings (both losses).
As for the Rams, they posted just 249 yards, 12 first downs and 2-of-11 on third-down tries in their last outing versus Seattle. Thankfully the defense came through with four interceptions, despite allowing 414 total yards and 26 first downs on the other side. Los Angeles is currently riding a nice five-game winning streak, scoring 34 or more points in three of those. The Rams have given up fewer than 20 points in four of those five as well. This weekend’s game should be a pretty good matchup.