The Cleveland Browns and the Las Vegas Raiders meet in week 12 NFL action from Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders prediction.
Cleveland Browns Recap
The Cleveland Browns come into this game looking to bounce back from a 23-16 loss at the hands of Baltimore last time out to sit at 2-8 this season. After this game, Cleveland will head home for a game against the San Francisco 49ers.
Browns Drop 3 Straight
Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 937 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 INTs on 59.2% passing while Shedeur Sanders has thrown for 47 yards and an INT on 25% passing. Quinshon Judkins has rushed for a team-high 620 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Harold Fannin Jr. leads the Browns with 44 catches for 422 yards while Jerry Jeudy has 356 receiving yards and David Njoku has 288 receiving yards. Four more Browns have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 85 total tackles while Devin Bush has 66 total tackles including 38 solo tackles. Myles Garrett has a team-high 15 sacks and Maliek Collins has 4 sacks. As a unit, Cleveland’s defense has combined for 32 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The Raiders have lost each of their last nine games in November.
- The underdogs have won four of the Raiders’ last six Week 12 games.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Raiders’ last four Week 12 games.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Deshaun Watson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
- Cedric Tillman has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Heading into Week 12, Quinshon Judkins has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Dolphins, Week 7).
Las Vegas Raiders Recap
The Las Vegas Raiders come into this game looking to rebound from their 33-16 loss to Dallas last time out to sit at 2-8 this season. After this game, Las Vegas will head on the road for a game against the Los Angeles Chargers.
Raiders Drop 4 In A Row
Geno Smith has thrown for 2,082 yards, 12 touchdowns and 13 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 554 yards and 4 touchdowns this season. Tre Tucker leads Las Vegas in receiving with 38 grabs for 502 yards and 5 touchdowns while Brock Bowers has 39 catches for 455 yards and 3 TDs. Two more Raiders have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Devin White has a team-high 97 total tackles while Maxx Crosby has a team-high 6 sacks and Jonah Laulu has 4 sacks. As a unit, Las Vegas has combined for 19 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The Browns have lost each of their last 17 interstate games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Raiders have won each of their last five games against the Browns.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 road games.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Lockett has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC North opponents.
- Geno Smith has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of his last four November home appearances.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Tyler Lockett has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last seven November appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Geno Smith has recorded 10+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
- Aidan O’Connell has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four appearances against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 12, Brock Bowers has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Jaguars, Week 9).
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Browns’ last eight Week 12 games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Raiders’ last four home games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the last 12 Sunday games at Allegiant Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
I’m on the Browns and the points in this one. I just don’t think that the Raiders are in a position to be laying points against anyone right now and in fairness, Las Vegas has been more ineffective than I would’ve expected them to be at home this season. The Browns are still a solid team defensively and you have to imagine there’s going to be some hype with Shedeur Sanders likely getting his first NFL start here. I think Cleveland rallies behind Shedeur and is live in a low-scoring ugly game. Give me the points.