Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 11/17/25 NFL Picks Today

The Dallas Cowboys and the Las Vegas Raiders meet in week 11 NFL action from Allegiant Stadium on Monday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders prediction.

Dallas Cowboys Recap

The Dallas Cowboys come into this game looking to bounce back from a 27-17 loss at the hands of Arizona last time out prior to sit at 3-5-1 this season. After this game, Dallas will head home for a game against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Cowboys Drop Back-To-Back Games

Dak Prescott has thrown for 2,319 yards, 17 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 69.3% passing while Javonte Williams leads the Cowboys in rushing with 716 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns so far this season. George Pickens leads the Cowboys in receiving with 764 yards and 6 touchdowns while Jake Ferguson has a team-high 56 catches for 384 yards and 6 TDs. CeeDee Lamb has 35 grabs for 491 yards while three more Cowboys have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Kenneth Murray Jr. has a team-high 63 total tackles including 32 solo tackles while James Houston has a team-high 3.5 sacks and the Cowboys’ defense as a whole has combined for 20 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season. 

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Raiders have lost each of their last eight home games against NFC opponents on a losing streak.
• The Cowboys have won each of their last seven Monday games played on the West Coast.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last six Monday road games.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against NFC opponents.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• George Pickens has scored a touchdown in each of his last four road appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in four of the Cowboys’ last five games as road favorites.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 256+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• Jalen Tolbert has recorded 12+ receiving yards in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine November games.
• George Pickens has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games.
• Heading into Week 11, Dak Prescott has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (38 vs Giants, Week 2).

Las Vegas Raiders Recap

The Las Vegas Raiders come into this game looking to rebound from a 10-7 loss at the hands of Denver last time out to sit at 2-7 this season. After this game, Las Vegas will take on the Cleveland Browns at home.

Raiders Drop 3 Straight

Geno Smith has thrown for 1,844 yards, 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on 66.7% passing while Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 547 yards and 4 touchdowns this season. Tre Tucker leads Las Vegas in rushing with 34 grabs for 455 yards and 4 touchdowns while Brock Bowers has 32 catches for 383 yards and 3 TDs. Two more Raiders have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Devin White has a team-high 87 total tackles while Maxx Crosby has a team-high 5 sacks and Jonah Laulu has 4 sacks. As a unit, Las Vegas has combined for 18 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

• The Cowboys have lost each of their last nine November games against AFC opponents.
• The Raiders have won each of their last three November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four November games against AFC opponents.
• The Raiders have covered the spread in six of their last seven November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Ashton Jeanty has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Raiders’ last five games following a loss.
• Geno Smith has recorded 284+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 22+ completions in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Ashton Jeanty has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Raiders’ last five games following a loss.
• Geno Smith has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his five previous Monday home appearances.
• Raheem Mostert has recorded 14+ receiving yards in four of his last five November appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 11, Geno Smith has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Chargers, Week 2).

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Raiders’ last 10 games as home underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games as road favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last three Monday games at Allegiant Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

I’m on the Cowboys here. It’s a tricky spot in a potential look-ahead for the Cowboys with the Eagles on deck and facing the lowly Raiders. However, the Raiders are a mess and are playing out the string at this point while the Cowboys need to take advantage of every winnable spot they have to keep in the playoff race. This Cowboys defense has been bad at times this year, but the Raiders are playing so bad that they may make the Cowboys look like a brick wall. I think this is a spot where the Cowboys get it done on the road so give me the Cowboys in this one.