In this article, we will formulate a Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans prediction for this NFL game on Monday, September 30th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week four matchup.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins are 1-2 this season after they lost to Seattle by a score of 24-3 in their last game. Miami cut the deficit to 10-3 in the first quarter, but they couldn’t find any more offense in the game for the loss. The Dolphins were outgained by a total of 370-205, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 1-12 on third down in the game. Skylar Thompson threw for 107 yards on 13 completions, while Tyreek Hill caught three passes for 40 yards.
Miami opened the season with a 20-17 win over Jacksonville, but they lost to Buffalo in week two by a score of 31-10, where they also lost Tua. The Miami offense has scored 11 points per game with 223.7 passing yards and 95 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24 points per game this season. The Dolphins have gone 37.2% on third down and 1-10 on fourth down so far this season. Miami’s quarterback situation is up in the air for this game, as it could be Skylar Thompson, Tim Boyle, or Tyler Huntley under center. De’Von Achane has rushed for 150 yards and one touchdown, while Tyreek Hill has caught 13 passes for 194 yards and one score.
Tennessee Titans Betting Preview
The Tennessee Titans are 0-3 this year after they lost to Green Bay by a score of 30-14 in their last game. Tennessee was tied at seven in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 20 points in the game for the loss. The Titans were outgained by a total of 378-237, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 3-9 on third down in the game. Will Levis threw for 260 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while DeAndre Hopkins caught six passes for 73 yards and one score.
Tennessee has also lost to Chicago and the Jets to open the season and Levis has not been very good at the quarterback position. The Tennessee offense has scored 16 points per game with 159.3 passing yards and 101 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26 points per game this season. The Titans have gone 31.4% on third down and 1-4 on fourth down through three games. Will Levis has completed 68.1% of his passes for 579 yards, four touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Tony Pollard has rushed for 158 yards and one score.
Why the Titans will beat the Dolphins
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last nine Week 4 games.
- The underdogs have won each of the Titans’ last six Week 4 games.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Week 4 games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Titans’ last six Week 4 games.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last nine Week 4 games.
- The Titans have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Titans’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last six games following a loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Titans’ last six Monday games as underdogs has gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Raheem Mostert has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four regular-season appearances against AFC opponents.
- Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his 13 previous September home appearances.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 11+ rushing yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Tyreek Hill has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight appearances following a loss.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 308+ passing yards in six of his last seven appearances following a road loss.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 14 regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
- Tua Tagovailoa has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Bills, Week 2).
Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts
- DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 58+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Tony Pollard has recorded 70+ rushing yards in each of his last five September road appearances.
- DeAndre Hopkins has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog in Florida.
- Tony Pollard has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his five previous September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (11.0) this season.
- The Dolphins rank T31st in the NFL in red zone percentage (25.0%) this season.
- The Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in turnover differential (-7) this season.
- The Titans rank 2nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (87.7) this season.
Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup with questions about the quarterback position, but one team will walk away from this game with a win (probably). Tennessee is 0-3 to start the season and Levis has not produced at the quarterback position. The Titans have not scored more than 17 points in any of their three games and practically gave away the first game against the Bears.
Miami is dealing with Tua’s injury at quarterback and the starter is up in the air for this game, so it is tough to know what this Miami offense will look like. I can’t believe I am going to say this, but I am going to go with Levis and the Titans to get this win, as I really don’t like the Miami quarterback room right now.