The Cleveland Browns and the New England Patriots meet in week 8 NFL action from Gillette Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots prediction.
Cleveland Browns Recap
The Cleveland Browns come into this game looking to build on their 31-6 win over the New England Patriots last time out to sit at 2-5 this season. After this game, the Browns will head on the road for a game against the New York Jets.
Browns Snap Three-Game Slide
Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 546 yards and 3 touchdowns on 59.8% passing while Quinshon Judkins has rushed for a team-high 467 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Harold Fannin Jr. leads the Browns with 32 catches for 290 yards while Jerry Jeudy has 257 receiving yards and David Njoku has 223 receiving yards. Three more Browns have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 59 total tackles while Devin Bush has 52 total tackles including 31 solo tackles. Myles Garrett has a team-high 5 sacks and Maliek Collins has 3.5 sacks. As a unit, Cleveland’s defense has combined for 18 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The Patriots have lost five of their last six games played as favorites on the East Coast.
- The underdogs have won four of the Browns’ last five Week 8 games.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in six of the Patriots’ last seven games.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Quinshon Judkins has recorded 84+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Browns’ last five games.
- Jerome Ford has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last six road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Deshaun Watson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 280+ passing yards in each of his last three October appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three October appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 8, Quinshon Judkins has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Dolphins, Week 7).
New England Patriots Recap
The New England Patriots will be out to add on to their 31-13 win over Tennessee last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, New England will take on the Atlanta Falcons at home.
Patriots Win 4 In A Row
Drake Maye has thrown for 1,744 yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 75.2% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson leads New England in rushing with 245 yards and 3 touchdowns. TreVeyon Henderson has 153 rushing yards and a touchdown while Stefon Diggs has a team-high 39 catches for 456 yards to lead New England’s receiving group. Kayshon Boutte has 356 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns while Hunter Henry has 310 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Four more Patriots have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Robert Spillane has a team-high 53 total tackles including 30 solo tackles while Harold Landry III has a team-high 5.5 sacks. K’Lavon Chaisson has 4.5 sacks and Milton Williams has 3.5 sacks and Marcus Jones has 2 interceptions. As a unit, New England’s defense has combined for 18 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Browns have lost each of their last 11 road games.
- The Patriots have won each of their last 11 Week 8 home games.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last nine Week 8 games as favorites.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 21+ completions in six of the Patriots’ last seven games following a win.
- Drake Maye has recorded 261+ passing yards in five of the Patriots’ last six games following a win.
- Hunter Henry has recorded 39+ receiving yards in each of his last seven Sunday home appearances.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six October home appearances.
- Heading into Week 8, Drake Maye has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (91.3% vs Titans, Week 7).
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Browns’ last 10 road games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last four Week 8 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the last eight Sunday games at Gillette Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots Prediction
I’m on New England here. I get the case to be made for an underdog in spots, but I’m not buying the Browns after one single win over a bad Miami Dolphins team that’s on par with what Cleveland’s been bringing to the table this season. New England’s had a bit of a soft schedule, but they’re still the better team as far as I’m concerned, and they should have no issues dispatching Cleveland here at home. Give me New England in this one.