New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints 9/26/21 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions

The New England Patriots meet the New Orleans Saints Sunday in week 3 NFL action at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. The New Orleans Saints look for a statement road win to get a game above a .500 record. The New England Patriots look for their first home win to improve to 2-1 on the year.

The New Orleans Saints have won six of their last eight road games. Jameis Winston is completing 59.5 percent of his passes for 259 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Deonte Harris and Juwan Johnson have combined for 125 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Alvin Kamara has seven receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 109.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 88 yards on 28 carries. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 14.5 points and 306 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 16 tackles, Tanoh Kpassagnon has one sack and Malcolm Roach has one interception.

The New England Patriots have split their last eight home games. Mac Jones is completing 73.9 percent of his passes for 467 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. James White and Nelson Agholor have combined for 187 receiving yards and one touchdown while Jakobi Meyes has 10 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 113 yards per contest, and Damien Harris leads the way with 162 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New England is allowing 11.5 points and 297.5 yards per game. Ja’Whaun Bentley leads the New England Patriots with 13 tackles, Josh Uche has three sacks and J.C. Jackson has two interceptions.

The Saints are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games overall. The under is 9-1 in Patriots last 10 games overall.

We’ve seen two different versions of the Saints, so the jury is still out, but what we do know is they’re ranked 32nd in both passing yards and total offense. The Patriots got back on track last week, and they’re getting mistake free play from their quarterback and a top-10 effort on the defensive side. The Patriots are far and away more trustworthy in this spot and the turnover margin will likely be the difference here. We’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. Give me the Pats at home.

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