New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Picks 11-10-24
The matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints on November 10, 2024, is set to be an important divisional clash, particularly for the Falcons, who lead the NFC South with a 6-3 record. Atlanta has been firing on all cylinders lately, with quarterback Kirk Cousins stabilizing their offense. The Falcons’ offense, ranking 9th in the league, has been a strong point, aided by key players like Bijan Robinson and Drake London. However, their defense remains a concern, as they rank in the bottom 10 in several key areas.
The Saints, on the other hand, are struggling at the bottom of the division with a 2-7 record. They’ve been on a seven-game losing streak, and despite quarterback Derek Carr returning to the lineup, their offense has been inconsistent, with injuries and a lack of weapons hurting their chances. Alvin Kamara remains a key offensive player, and Taysom Hill has been a versatile contributor.
Derrick Carr Over 199.5 Pass Yards -110
Carr has been a steady presence for the Saints, completing 67.9% of his passes with 1,225 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions so far this season. In this matchup, Carr will face a Falcons defense that has been tough, allowing an average of 24 points per game and 351 yards. For Carr to succeed, he’ll need to rely on quick passing to avoid pressure from Atlanta’s defense, which is solid against the pass. Carr has historically been effective against NFC South teams, throwing for 200+ yards in several games. This game could be a tight one, but with Carr’s solid track record against divisional opponents, he should be able to make some plays.
I do expect the Saints to be playing from behind in this one which should be good for Carr’s passing stats. It’s do or die for the Saints at this point and after a great start to the season they’ve fallen off a cliff. I expect we see this team come out a bit more motivated than we’ve seen over the last couple of weeks. I’m buying low on this Saints team and on Derrick Carr. There’s a lot of value with this line sitting under 200 yards.
Alvin Kamara Over 43.5 Rec Yards -110
Alvin Kamara has been a key player for the New Orleans Saints in the 2024 season, showcasing his receiving skills along with his rushing duties. As of Week 9, Kamara has caught 35 passes for 367 yards and 1 touchdown. He’s averaging about 5 receptions per game, reflecting his importance in the Saints’ passing game, particularly since Chris Olave’s absence in Week 9 due to injury. Kamara’s receiving role should continue to be a major factor in the Saints’ offense as they face the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10, especially with the team’s reliance on his versatility in both the running and passing game.
Without Shaheed and Olave both sitting out for this game, Kamara will be this team’s number-one receiving option. We’ve seen Kamara put up 60 receiving yards last week and 55 receiving yards the week before. I don’t see a world where Kamara doesn’t get 40+ receiving yards with what’s on the line and how limited this Saints team is with weapons.
Bijan Robinson Over 73.5 Rush Yards -110
As of the 2024-25 NFL season, Bijan Robinson has been performing strongly as a key part of the Atlanta Falcons’ offense. Over 9 games, he has accumulated 632 rushing yards on 135 attempts, averaging 4.7 yards per carry, with 4 touchdowns. His rushing yardage per game averages 70.2, and his longest run so far this season is 28 yards. He has also made contributions in the passing game, with 38 receptions for 303 yards and one touchdown. Robinson’s blend of power and agility has helped him remain a reliable workhorse for the Falcons, consistently gaining solid yardage across multiple games. Keep an eye on him as a key player in future matchups for the remainder of the season. Robinson’s blend of power and agility has helped him remain a reliable workhorse for the Falcons, consistently gaining solid yardage across multiple games.
After a couple of tough games to start the season, Bijan is looking like he did last season which is dominant. Bijan has put up 80+ rush yards in three of his last four games and he should have another big game in this one.