In this article, we will formulate a New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 15th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 15 matchup.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
The New Orleans Saints are 5-8 this season after they defeated the Giants by a score of 14-11 in their last game. New Orleans led 7-3 at halftime and was able to hold off a late comeback attempt from the Giants for the win. The Saints were outgained by a total of 325-292, tied the turnover battle 1-1, and went 5-15 on third down in the game. Derek Carr threw for 219 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Alvin Kamara rushed for 44 yards on 17 carries.
Prior to that victory, the Saints lost to the Rams by a score of 21-14 but did beat the Browns and Falcons before that. The NO offense has scored 22.3 points per game with 212.8 passing yards and 128.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.5 points per game this season. Derek Carr has completed 67.7% of his passes for 2,145 yards, 15 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Alvin Kamara has rushed for 938 yards and also has 485 receiving yards while totaling seven touchdowns on the year.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders are 8-5 this year after they defeated the Titans by a score of 42-19 in their last game. Washington scored the first 28 points in the game and they were never in danger of losing this one. The Commanders outgained Tennessee by a total of 463-245, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 9-14 on third down in the game. Jayden Daniels threw for 206 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 103 yards and one score in the game.
Prior to that win, the Commanders lost three games in a row against Dallas, Philadelphia, and Pittsburgh. The Washington offense has scored 28.9 points per game with 220.7 passing yards and 156.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.8 points per game this season. Jayden Daniels has completed 69.6% of his passes for 2,819 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Terry McLaurin has caught 61 passes for 896 yards and nine scores.
Why the Saints will beat the Commanders
- The Commanders have lost four of their last five games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Saints have won seven of their last eight Week 15 games.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine December games against NFC opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in five of the Saints’ last six games.
- The Saints have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games against NFC East opponents.
- The Saints have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
- The Saints have won the first half in each of their last six Sunday games at Caesars Superdome.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Commanders’ last eight games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Saints’ last four games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Juwan Johnson has scored a touchdown in four of the Saints’ last five December games.
- Cedrick Wilson has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last four December appearances.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
- Jamaal Williams has recorded 39+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
- Derek Carr has recorded 218+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Derek Carr has thrown three touchdowns in each of his last two Week 15 appearances.
- Derek Carr has recorded 20+ completions in 23 of his last 26 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Heading into Week 15, Carl Granderson ranks T1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (16) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 254+ passing yards in three of the Commanders’ last four games following a home win.
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight Sunday road appearances.
- Terry McLaurin has recorded 61+ receiving yards in each of the Commanders’ last five December games against NFC opponents.
- Brian Robinson has recorded 63+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances against NFC opponents.
- Brian Robinson has recorded 67+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four Sunday road appearances.
- Jayden Daniels has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Commanders’ last four games as favorites.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Commanders’ last five road games.
- Heading into Week 15, Terry McLaurin ranks T2nd in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 15, the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in average punt return (13.9 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Saints rank 31st in the NFL in average yards per punt (43.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (86.7%) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (9.8) this season.
New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders Prediction
New Orleans comes into this matchup with just a 5-8 record on the season, but they have won three of their last four games and their defense has been very strong over the last four. The Saints have allowed 11, 21, 14, and 17 points in their last four games, but will face a very high-scoring Washington team here. The Commanders have struggled on defense in recent games, but they have scored at least 26 points in four of their last five games. The Saints have done a nice job of competing, despite their poor record, and I think they can keep it close with their defense. Take New Orleans the points here.