New York Giants vs New England Patriots prediction 11-26-23 NFL Picks

New York Giants vs New England Patriots prediction 11-26-23 NFL Picks player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The New England Patriots and the New York Giants meet in week 12 NFL action from MetLife Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Let’s preview this game and give out a New England Patriots vs New York Giants prediction.

Patriots Fall To Indy

The New England Patriots are coming off of their bye week, but it was a much needed one following a 3rd straight loss following a 10-6 loss to Indianapolis the week prior. Mac Jones has thrown for 2,031 yards, 10 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 65.4% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson has 482 rushing yards with 3 TDs and Ezekiel Elliott has 331 rushing yards and a pair of scores. Kendrick Bourne leads New England’s receiving group with 37 grabs for 406 yards and 4 touchdowns while Demario Douglas has 361 receiving yards. Two more Patriots have 200+ receiving yards and another five have 100+. On defense, Ja’Whaun Bentley has a team-high 68 total tackles with 3 sacks while Matthew Judon has a team-high 4 sacks despite playing just 4 games due to injury. Bentley and Christian Barmore each have 3 sacks while Kyle Dugger has a pair of interceptions.

New England Patriots Team Facts

The Patriots have won each of their last eight games at MetLife Stadium.
The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against NFC East opponents.
The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last four November games as favorites against NFC opponents.
The Patriots have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games at MetLife Stadium.

CHECK OUT MORE NFL PICKS HERE!!!

Giants Take Down Washington

The New York Giants come into this game fresh off of a 31-19 win over Washington to improve to 3-8 on the year. Tommy DeVito has thrown for 506 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 61.3% passing while Saquon Barkley leads the Giants on the ground with 651 rushing yards. Darius Slayton has a team-high 419 receiving yards while Darren Waller has 384 receiving yards. Wan’Dale Robinson and Jalin Hyatt each have 200+ receiving yards and another four Giants have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Bobby Okereke leads the Giants with 105 total tackles while Kayvon Thibodeaux has a team-high 10.5 sacks.

New York Giants Team Facts

The Giants have lost each of their last seven games following a win.
The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Giants' last five Week 12 games.
The Giants have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Giants have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 12 games.
The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against AFC opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game this season (13.5).
The Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game this season (262.2).
The Patriots rank 32nd in the NFL in time of possession per game this season (27:17).
The Patriots rank 31st in the NFL in points per game this season (14.1).

Chris’ Pick

I’m backing the under here. Not because I trust either defense, but the offenses on both sides have been so bad this season. I’m not reading into New York’s outburst against the Commanders as the Commanders’ defense was picked apart via trades and Washington was riding a bit too high after Sam Howell’s strong run in recent weeks. The Patriots’ defense has never been an issue, and I don’t expect that to change here in what I think is a 17-10 game either way. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:Under 35.5