The Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Here’s a Jets vs Browns prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Browns pick.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
The Browns started out the season on a rough note, but things have picked up quite well since then. Cleveland lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars in a road matchup 34-10 in their opener, but then came back for a 23-19 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Game three was another victory for Cleveland, this time 21-18 over the Carolina Panthers for a nice 2-1 start.
The Browns took on the rival Pittsburgh Steelers last Thursday in game four. Cleveland entered the fourth quarter up 21-10 but let Pittsburgh get a couple of touchdowns from there. In the end after a game-winning field goal the Browns and a 27-24 victory, though. QB Deshaun Watson was 24-of-33 for 268 yards, one TD and one interception in the winning effort.
New York Jets Betting Preview
Over on the Jets’ side, they haven’t exactly been setting the record books on fire this year but they’ve at least been mostly competitive. New York opened up the season with a nice road win 23-10 over the Tennessee Titans, but then took a tough overtime loss at home 20-17 versus Green Bay in game two. Game three was another loss, this time 31-24 versus the Detroit Lions.
Matched up against the Chicago Bears last weekend the Jets were only able to muster a field goal in the first half and limped into the locker room with a 13-3 deficit. New York was never really a threat to Chicago and ultimately lost the game 23-12. QB Geno Smith finished 8-of-15 for 119 yards and a TD. Braelon Allen rushed 14 times for 59 yards.
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Browns have lost 18 of their last 19 interstate games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Jets have won each of their last eight Sunday games against the Browns.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Browns’ last six Week 5 games.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games at MetLife Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last nine games without Breece Hall.
- The Browns have won five of their last six games as underdogs without Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without Mason Taylor.
- The Browns have covered the spread in six of their last seven games without Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah.
- The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games against AFC East opponents.
- The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Browns’ last eight road games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Jets’ last five home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances on the East Coast.
- Geno Smith has recorded 212+ passing yards in six of his last seven October home appearances.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 71+ receiving yards in each of his last five October appearances at MetLife Stadium.
- Breece Hall has recorded 62+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 16 appearances following a road loss.
- Breece Hall has recorded 119+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last six games against AFC North opponents.
- Geno Smith has recorded 23+ completions in five of his last six appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Breece Hall ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with Shedeur Sanders as the starting quarterback.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 234+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Jerry Jeudy has recorded 16+ receiving yards in 16 of his last 17 road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with Shedeur Sanders as the starting quarterback.
- Malachi Corley has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last three games against AFC East opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 18+ completions in 22 of his last 24 appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Denzel Boston ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Jets – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Jets – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Browns – eight different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Heading into Week 5, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (155.3) this season.
Jets vs Browns Prediction
I’ll stay with Cleveland. Don’t look now, but the Browns are 3-1 and sitting on a nice win streak. Cleveland had to work for it in their win over the Steelers, notching 22 first downs, 372 total yards and a tepid 4-of-10 on third downs. The defense gave up 361 yards on the other side and had a couple of takeaways. If Cleveland can score in the 20s again I think they’ll be good to go here.
As for the Jets, they chalked up another rough offensive outing in their road loss to the Bears. New York mustered just 157 total yards and seven first downs, and the 12 team penalties for 76 yards didn’t help. Defensively the Jets came up with a couple of takeaways but also gave up 492 total yards with 34 first downs. I don’t have a whole lot of confidence in their ability to score these days; they’ve managed 17 or fewer points in two of the last three (all losses).