The Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Jets vs Browns prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Browns pick.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Cleveland kicked off the year with a couple of losses, falling to the Bengals and Ravens in that pair. The Browns would then take a three-point win over the Green Bay Packers, then hit a losing skid versus the Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings and Pittsburgh Steelers. Cleveland would then beat the Dolphins in a blowout home effort on October 19. The Browns defense was the star of the show in that one with just 219 yards, 3.8 yards per play, 12 first downs and 1-of-13 on third-downs allowed alongside three takeaways. The offense wasn’t great with 206 yards, 15 first downs and 4-of-11 on third-downs themselves, though.
In their latest outing back on October 26 versus the New England Patriots, the Browns were up by four points at the end of the first quarter. Cleveland ended up surrendering points in every quarter though, eventually falling 32-13 in the end. QB Dillon Gabriel finished with a 21-of-35 line for 156 yards, two scores and two picks. Tops in rushing was Malachi Corley with one 31-yard rumble. Harold Fannin added six catches for 62 yards and a touchdown, while David Njoku had four catches for 37 yards in the losing effort.
New York Jets Betting Preview
Over on the Jets’ side, they opened the season on a pretty rough losing skid. New York lost versus the Pittsburgh Steelers, Buffalo Bills, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Miami Dolphins, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers in that time, but a few of those matchups were close finishes. In the loss to Carolina, the Jets could only muster 220 yards, 3.7 yards per play, 12 first downs and a couple of interceptions on offense. Defensively New York gave up 302 yards with 17 first downs and a solid 5-of-17 allowed on third-down conversions.
New York was finally able to get a much-needed win in their latest outing versus the Cincinnati Bengals. The Jets were down 24-13 by the break but eventually took a thrilling 39-38 comeback road win thanks to 23 points in the final quarter. QB Justin Fields was 21-of-32 for 244 yards and a score while Breece Hall carried 18 times for 133 yards and two touchdowns of his own. Tyler Johnson led the receivers with three catches for 64 yards and a touchdown of his own in the winning effort.
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Browns have lost each of their last 12 road games.
- The Jets have won each of their last seven Sunday games against the Browns.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Browns’ last five games.
- The Browns have lost the first quarter in 15 of their last 18 road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Jets have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight games following a road win.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last five Week 10 games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won four of the Jets’ last five Week 10 games.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games at MetLife Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last four games.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight Week 10 games.
- The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Jets’ last seven games as favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Browns’ last nine games against AFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Jets’ last five games against AFC North opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of his last four home appearances against conference opponents.
- Breece Hall has recorded 126+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last four games against AFC North opponents.
- Allen Lazard has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances as a starter.
- Justin Fields has recorded the most touchdown passes (5) of any player yet to record an interception.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- Deshaun Watson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of his last four November appearances against AFC opponents.
- David Njoku has recorded 58+ receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last three November road games.
- Heading into Week 10, Quinshon Judkins has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Dolphins, Week 7).
Matchup/League Facts
- Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
- Heading into Week 10, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (156.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 10, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 1st downs (134) this season.
- Browns – four different rookies have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
Jets vs Browns Prediction
I’m going to stay with the Browns. That said, there’s not a lot to get excited about in this matchup. Cleveland couldn’t find much room against the Patriots in their last outing, notching just 213 yards with 12 first downs and 2-of-11 on third-down tries in the loss—not to mention two interceptions. The defense bagged a couple of takeaways and held the Pats to just 3-of-11 on third downs but it wasn’t enough to keep it anywhere close. Cleveland has had some major issues scoring this year; they’ve been below 18 points in seven of their eight games so far.
As for the Jets, they ended up looking pretty good in their win over the Bengals but it was very much thanks to a wild final quarter. New York finished with a whopping 502 yards, 254 rush yards, 7.2 yards per play and 25 first downs. It was the Jets’ first time cracking 30 points since their first game versus the Steelers. It’s tough telling what’ll happen in this game but I can’t trust New York for anything these days. I’m staying away from this one but it’s an interesting matchup all the same.