The Denver Broncos and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from Northumberland Development Project in London. Here’s a Jets vs Broncos prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Broncos pick.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
Denver was able to open up the season with a victory, taking out the struggling Tennessee Titans 20-12. The Broncos would lose the next two games each by one score, falling to the Indianapolis Colts 29-28 and the Los Angeles Chargers 23-20. Denver was able to even up their record through four games with a 28-3 win over the Cincinnati Bengals, though. In that matchup the Broncos gathered 512 total yards and 29 first downs while holding the opposition to just 159 yards, 3.7 yards per play, nine first downs and a 2-of-11 success rate on third-down tries on the other side in a nice defensive display.
In their matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend, Denver wasn’t looking good by the fourth quarter, heading in with a 17-3 deficit. The Broncos managed to score 18 unanswered points from there however, pulling off an improbable upset win 21-17 in the end. QB Bo Nix finished with 242 yards and a score on 24-of-39 passing while JK Dobbins was the top rusher with 20 carries, 79 yards and a TD of his own in the victory effort. Tops in receiving was Courtland Sutton with eight catches for 99 yards in total.
New York Jets Betting Preview
Over on the Jets’ side, it’s been a rough year so far. New York hit the skids right from the beginning this season, falling to the Pittsburgh Steelers in the opener 34-32. The Jets were then pummeled by their division rival Buffalo Bills 30-10 and fell in a tough one to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29-27. In their Monday evening game versus the Dolphins, New York took yet another defeat 27-21. In that one the Jets held Miami to a modest 177 pass yards and a 4-of-12 success rate on third downs but also went 4-of-9 on third downs themselves alongside 13 penalties and three lost fumbles in a sloppy overall effort.
Matched up against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday, the Jets were doing fine after the first quarter, all tied up with a 3-3 score. New York was pummeled for 20 unanswered points in the second quarter however, and despite 16 points in the final frame it ended up as a 37-22 Jets defeat. QB Justin Fields was 32-of-46 for 283 yards and a pair of scores, while Breece Hall topped the rushers with 14 carries for 113 yards. Garrett Wilson was the leading receiver in the loss with six catches for 71 yards and a touchdown.
Denver Broncos @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Broncos have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
- The underdogs have won each of the last two games between the Broncos and Jets.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
- The Jets have covered the spread in four of their last five October games against AFC West opponents.
- The Broncos have lost the first half in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Broncos have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Denver Broncos will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Broncos have won seven of their last eight games against the Jets following a win.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last four October games as favorites.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Broncos’ last eight games.
- The Jets have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games against AFC opponents.
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Broncos’ last seven games as favorites following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the Jets’ last 10 games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in four of the Jets’ last five games.
- Allen Lazard has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Jets’ last eight October games.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Breece Hall has recorded 74+ rushing yards in four of the Jets’ last five October games.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances as a starter.
- Heading into Week 6, Breece Hall has the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown this season (351).
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last four Sunday games.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine regular season appearances.
- Bo Nix has recorded 216+ passing yards in three of the Broncos’ last four October games.
- J.K. Dobbins has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of his last seven regular season appearances.
- Evan Engram has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of his last 13 October appearances.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in seven of the Broncos’ last eight regular season games.
- Heading into Week 6, Nik Bonitto ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (7.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Jets – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Broncos – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Broncos – 10 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
Jets vs Broncos Prediction
I’ll stay with Denver. The Broncos are riding high right now after handing Philadelphia their first loss of the season—at Lincoln Financial Field, no less. It was a chippy game though, with Denver accounting for 12 of the game’s 21 penalties, resulting in 121 yards off flags. The third-down efficiency was pretty rough for the Broncs as well (5-of-16) but they did a good job otherwise. Denver managed 358 total yards (228 passing), 5.1 yards per play and 23 first downs. On defense the Broncos held Philly to 302 total yards (45 rushing), 16 first downs and 2-of-11 on third-down tries. Denver is getting it done with defense these days; they’ve held opponents below 21 points in all three wins, and below 30 points in all five games. The offense hasn’t gotten past 28 points themselves, however.
As for the Jets, they gave up 416 yards and 22 first downs to the Cowboys last weekend in a sloppy game of their own (10 of 21 total penalties). New York has given up 27 or more points in every game this year so far; it’s difficult to trust them on much of anything right now.