The Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Here’s a Jets vs Dolphins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Dolphins pick.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
It’s been a tough run for the Dolphins so far. Miami has suffered through a string of losses this year, dropping five straight ahead of their bye week. Those defeats have come courtesy of the Las Vegas Raiders, San Francisco 49ers, Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings and Cincinnati Bengals in succession for an 0-5 start to the season.
Back on October 11 versus the Bengals, the Dolphins gave up three touchdowns in the first half on the way to a 21-7 deficit. After the break Miami got better but couldn’t keep the pace in an eventual loss 31-24. QB Malik Willis was 15-of-27 for 137 yards, one TD and one pick. Ollie Gordon had 18 carries for 88 yards and a touchdown in the losing effort for Miami.
New York Jets Betting Preview
Over on the Jets’ side, they haven’t been doing as badly as usual, but that’s not saying much. New York opened with a win over the Tennessee Titans, then lost three straight games versus the Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears. After another win over the Cleveland Browns, the Jets were 2-3 through the first five games of the year.
Matched up against the rival Patriots last weekend the Jets were pretty quiet in the first half and went into the break with a 17-3 deficit. New York woke up in the second half with a TD and a few field goals but couldn’t catch up in a 26-19 loss. QB Geno Smith was 20-of-30 for 252 yards, one TD and one pick. Braelon Allen led the rush with 17 carries for 78 yards in the loss.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the New York Jets will win
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last 13 games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The favorites have won each of the Dolphins’ last eight Week 7 games.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The favorites have covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Dolphins and Jets.
- The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in each of their last six October road games against AFC East opponents.
- The Jets have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last six games.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last 14 games against AFC East opponents on a losing streak.
- The Dolphins have won nine of their last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage against the Jets.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in six of their last seven games following a home loss.
- The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last nine day games against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against the Jets.
- The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last seven games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven games between AFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Dolphins’ last six games without Greg Dulcich have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Jets’ last nine day games against AFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Wilson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four October appearances at MetLife Stadium.
- Breece Hall has recorded 80+ rushing yards in each of his three previous October appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Mason Taylor has recorded 30+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Geno Smith has recorded 212+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Garrett Wilson has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six October appearances at MetLife Stadium.
- Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in four of his last five home appearances against division opponents.
- Heading into Week 7, David Bailey has recorded the equal-most sacks in a single game this season (3.0 vs Browns, Week 5).
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Ollie Gordon II has scored a touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last three games.
- Malik Willis has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Greg Dulcich has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last six games played on the East Coast.
- Malik Willis has recorded 197+ passing yards in three of his last four road appearances as a starter.
- Malik Washington has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five games.
- Heading into Week 7, Jacob Rodriguez has recorded the most tackles in a single game this season (18 vs Vikings, Week 4).
Matchup/League Facts
- Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Jets – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Dolphins – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Dolphins – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
Jets vs Dolphins Prediction
I’ll stay with Miami but you could argue it either way. The Dolphins didn’t play horrendously against the Bengals in their latest loss, racking up 331 yards, 217 rush yards and 23 first downs offensively. The D gave up 22 first downs and 307 yards with one takeaway, and Miami’s three turnovers didn’t help the cause. The good news for the Dolphins is that this is a winnable game they’ve had ample opportunity to get ready for.
As for the Jets, they rarely win games in Foxborough and that trend held last weekend. New York ended up with 324 total yards, 21 first downs and a pretty rough 3-of-10 on third-down tries. Defensively the Jets gave up 383 yards and 22 first downs alongside a couple of fumble recoveries. Miami will be a much more manageable opponent and this is a winnable game for the Jets.