The Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Jets vs Dolphins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Jets vs Dolphins pick.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Dolphins’ year didn’t start out very well, but to be fair they’ve been better lately. Miami went just 1-6 over their first seven games though, with a win over the Jets mixed among losses otherwise versus the Colts, Patriots, Bills, Panthers, Chargers and Browns. A 3-1 run came in the next four outings with a lone loss to the Ravens among wins over the Falcons, Bills and Commanders. That would put Miami at 4-7 across their first 11 games this year.
In the Sunday matchup versus the Saints, the Dolphins were up 16-0 by the end of the first half. Miami had to hang on in the second, but eventually powered out the win 21-17 in the end. QB Tua Tagovailoa finished 12-of-23 for 157 yards and a pick while De’Von Achane carried 22 times for 134 yards and a score. Darren Waller added two catches for 47 yards as the Dolphins’ leading receiver in the winning effort.
New York Jets Betting Preview
Over on the Jets’ side, they dropped their first seven games this year. In succession, New York fell versus the Steelers, Bills, Buccaneers, Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos and Panthers in that time. The Jets would win consecutive games over the Bengals and Browns, then took losses to the Patriots and Ravens in the next pair. New York limped out of their first 11 games with a 2-9 record overall.
Matched up against the Falcons last weekend, New York was trailing 17-14 going into the fourth quarter. The Jets put up a 13-7 run from there and won the game 27-24 in the end. QB Tyrod Taylor finished with a 19-of-33 line for 172 yards and a touchdown while also posting a rush TD. Breece Hall carried 19 times for 68 yards and a score while Adonai Mitchell caught eight balls for 102 yards and a touchdown in the winning effort for the Jets.
Why the New York Jets will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Jets’ last four games at MetLife Stadium.
- The Dolphins have lost seven of their last eight road games against AFC opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Dolphins’ last eight Week 14 games.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games following a win.
- The Jets have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Week 14 home games.
- The Jets have won the first quarter in each of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the last four games between the Dolphins and Jets.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last six games following a home win.
- Bradley Chubb’s team has won each of its four previous games with him playing against Jeremy Ruckert.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a home win.
- The favorites have covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Dolphins and Jets.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games played on the East Coast.
- The Dolphins have won the first quarter in each of their last six Week 14 games against AFC East opponents.
- The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Dolphins’ last eight games against AFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between the Dolphins and Jets have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances as a starter.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 32+ rushing yards in each of his four previous December home appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Allen Lazard has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Breece Hall has recorded 119+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Jets’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 19+ completions in four of his last five appearances as a starter.
- Heading into Week 14, Justin Fields ranks 1st in the AFC for TD:INT ratio (7.00) this season.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- De’Von Achane has scored the first touchdown in four of the Dolphins’ last five Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 224+ passing yards in each of his last six December appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 82+ rushing yards in five of the Dolphins’ last six Sunday games.
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last 13 Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- Greg Dulcich has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five December appearances against AFC opponents.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last seven December appearances.
- Heading into Week 14, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the equal-most tackles in a single game this season (20 vs Commanders, Week 11).
Matchup/League Facts
- Jets – 15 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
- Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
- Heading into Week 14, the Dolphins have recorded three consecutive games with an interception – equal-longest streak in the league.
- Heading into Week 14, the Dolphins rank 2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (10) this season.
Jets vs Dolphins Prediction
I’ll stick with Miami. The Dolphins posted a relatively decent effort in their win over the Saints, though they did get a bit sloppy in the second half. Miami finished with 298 yards but only 134 pass yards, 16 first downs and a 4-of-12 success rate on third-down tries. The Dolphins’ defense gave up 294 total yards, 213 pass yards, 20 first downs and 4-of-12 on third-down attempts alongside a couple of takeaways. Don’t look now but the Dolphins have won three straight games. That said, Miami has been below 22 points in three of the last four outings.
As for the Jets, they mustered 269 yards, 159 pass yards, 4.3 yards per play, 16 first downs and 7-of-16 on third-down tries in their win over the Falcons. The offense had no turnovers but the team came away with nine total penalties. On defense the Jets gave up 389 yards, 5.8 yards per play and 25 first downs but did pretty well on thirds with a 4-of-12 success rate. Weirdly enough the Jets are 3-2 in their last five games with 27 or more points scored in all three wins. Miami will want to keep New York’s offense off the field and try to wear the defense down through ball control here.