In this article, we will formulate a Packers vs Buccaneers Prediction for this NFL Week 4 game on Sunday, October 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Buccaneers Preview
The Buccaneers have a 0-3 record this season and are 4th in the NFC South. They are coming off a 16-23 home defeat by Vikings and their next three games are against the Cowboys, the Steelers and the Panthers next.
Tampa Bay scores 20.7 points per game offensively, ranking 19th in the NFL, while allowing 26.3 points per game defensively, which is 23rd. The Buccaneers average 279.3 total yards per game (185 passing and 94.3 rushing), while allowing 282.7 total yards per game (76 rushing and 206.7 passing).
Baker Mayfield leads the Tampa Bay with 615 passing yards with 63.5% completed passes and 2 TD’s. Bucky Irving is the rushing leader with 180, while Emeka Egbuka has 13 received passes for a team-best 141 receiving yards. Josiah Trotter has a team-best 24 total tackles defensively, 10 of them solo), while David Walker leads the team with two sacks.
Packers Preview
The Packers have a 1-2 record this season and are 4th in the NFC North. They are coming off a 14-35 home defeat by the Falcons and will face the Bears, the Cowboys and the Lions next.
Green Bay scored 18.7 points per game offensively, ranking 22nd in the NFL, while allowing 30.3 points per game defensively, which is 29th. The Packers average 315.3 total yards per game (266.7 passing and 48.7 rushing), while allowing 340.7 total yards per game (138.7 rushing and 202 passing).
Jordan Love leads Green Bay with 844 passing yards with 52.4% completed passes and 6 TD’s. MarShawn Lloyd is the team’s rushing leader with 68, while Christian Watson has 17 received passes for a team-best 284 receiving yards. Evan Williams has a team-best 27 total tackles defensively, 17 of them solo), while Lukas Van Ness leads the team with 2.5 sacks.
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Packers and Buccaneers.
- The Packers have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Packers and Buccaneers.
- The Packers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 4 games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won the first half in each of the last four games between the Packers and Buccaneers.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games following a loss.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last seven games in October.
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last six Sunday games.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 games.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last three games between the Packers and Buccaneers.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last seven road games against the Buccaneers.
- The Buccaneers have lost the first half in eight of their last nine Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games against NFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last six games without Antoine Winfield Jr. have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last four games as favorites without MarShawn Lloyd have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last eight Sunday games at Raymond James Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Sean Tucker has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Buccaneers’ last four games following a home loss.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last nine home appearances against conference opponents.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 38+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against conference opponents.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 20+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 4, Chase McLaughlin ranks 1st in the NFL in made field goals (9) this season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Watson has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 October appearances.
- Jordan Love has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of the Packers’ last four October games against NFC opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Packers’ last three games against NFC opponents.
- Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 10+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 12 October appearances.
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five regular season appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in 12 of his last 13 regular season appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Tucker Kraft has recorded the equal-most drops (4) of any player this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 4, the Buccaneers rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (9.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 4, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (66.7) this season.
- Packers – two different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Packers – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
Packers vs Buccaneers Prediction
Tampa Bay has not win a single game this season and are also a 0-3 ATS. Green Bay has also failed to cover the spread in all of its games so far and have weaker numbers than Tampa Bay both on the offensive and defensive end. They have conceded 35+ points in two of their three games this season, while the Buccaneers have allowed 23 in each of their last two games. Both teams are allowing 56.9 ppg defensively this season and as a result, they are 4-2 to the over in their 6 games combined. Over is also 6-3 in their 9 head-to-head meetings and I will go over the small 38.5 number in this one.