In this article, we will formulate a Packers vs Giants Prediction for this NFL Week 11 game on Sunday, November 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
New York Giants Preview
The New York Giants have a 2-8 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC East. They are 5-5 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 0-5 away record. The Giants are coming off a 20-24 road loss against the Chicago Bears and will face the Lions, Patriots and Commanders next.
Offensively, the Giants average 21.7 points per game, ranking 24th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 27.3 points per game, which is 27th. New York averages 332.9 total yards per game (209.9 passing and 123.0 rushing), while allowing 383.0 total yards per game (152.1 rushing and 230.9 passing).
Jaxson Dart leads the Giants with 1417 passing yards with 62.7% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Cam Skattebo leads the team in rushing yards with 410, while Wan’Dale Robinson has a team-high 53 receptions for 602 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Bobby Okereke has a team-high 88 total tackles (44 of them solo), while Brian Burns leads the team in sacks, with 11.0, while Andru Phillips has two interceptions.
Green Bay Packers Preview
The Green Bay Packers have a 5-3-1 record this season and are sitting third in the NFC North. They are 4-5 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 2-1-1 away record. The Packers are coming off a 7-10 home loss against the Philadelphia Eagles and will face the Vikings, Lions and Bears next.
Offensively, the Packers average 23.7 points per game, ranking 15th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 19.6 points per game, which is 7th. Green Bay averages 314.4 total yards per game (213.7 passing and 100.7 rushing), while allowing 258.5 total yards per game (82.6 rushing and 175.9 passing).
Jordan Love leads the Packers with 2247 passing yards with 68.9% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing yards with 608, while Tucker Kraft has a team-high 32 receptions for 489 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Quay Walker has a team-high 77 total tackles (40 of them solo), while Rashan Gary leads the team in sacks, with 7.5, while Xavier McKinney has two interceptions.
Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the New York Giants will win
- The Packers have lost three of their last four games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
- The underdogs have won three of the Packers’ last four Week 11 games.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Packers’ last four Week 11 games.
- The Giants have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five home games.
- The Packers have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games at MetLife Stadium.
- The Packers have lost the first half in seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Giants have lost each of their last eight games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The road team has won each of the Packers’ last four games.
- The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four November home games against NFC opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the Packers’ last five games.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in seven of their last eight road games following a home loss.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the last seven games between the Packers and Giants.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Packers’ last five games played as favorites on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between the Packers and Giants have gone OVER the total points line.
- Three of the last four Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Giants Player Prop Facts
- Theo Johnson has recorded 37+ receiving yards in five of the Giants’ last six November games.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 37+ rushing yards in five of his six previous appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Jaxson Dart has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Giants’ last five games.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Heading into Week 11, Brian Burns ranks T1st in the NFL in sacks (11.0) this season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Romeo Doubs has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 4).
Matchup/League Facts
- Giants – eight different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
- Heading into Week 11, the Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in 1st downs against (230) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in average punt return (5.5 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (47.8%) this season.
Packers vs Giants Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Giants are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in NY. Their last four meetings have gone over the total.
In this Packers vs Giants Prediction, the Packers are coming as -7.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. The Giants have been struggling this season and both teams are coming into this matchup in poor form, as the Giants have lost four consecutive games and the Packers have dropped two straight. I still don’t trust the Giants as home dogs, as they have been losing by an average of 5.6 points per game this season, so I will lean towards the Green Bay Packers and the -7.5 points in this one.