In this article, we will formulate a Packers vs Steelers Prediction for this NFL Week 8 game on Sunday, October 26th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Pittsburgh Steelers Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 4-2 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC North. They are 3-3 ATS, 4-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 2-1 away record. The Steelers are coming off a 31-33 road loss against the Cincinnati Bengals and will face the Colts, Chargers and the Bengals next.
Offensively, the Steelers average 25.0 points per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.3 points per game, which is 18th. Pittsburgh averages 297.5 total yards per game (203.0 passing and 94.5 rushing), while allowing 374.7 total yards per game (115.8 rushing and 258.8 passing).
Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 1270 passing yards with 68.6% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 311, while D.K. Metcalf has a team-high 22 receptions for 406 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Patrick Queen has a team-high 48 total tackles (24 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, while Jalen Ramsey, T.J. Watt, DeShon Elliott, Brandin Echols and Nick Herbig each have one interception.
Green Bay Packers Preview
The Green Bay Packers have a 4-1-1 record this season and are sitting first in the NFC North. They are 2-4 ATS, 2-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-0 home record and a 1-1 away record. The Packers are coming off a 27-23 road win against the Arizona Cardinals and will face the Panthers, Eagles and Giants next.
Offensively, the Packers average 26.3 points per game, ranking 8th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 20.8 points per game, which is 10th. Green Bay averages 343.3 total yards per game (225.8 passing and 117.5 rushing), while allowing 288.5 total yards per game (76.5 rushing and 212.0 passing).
Jordan Love leads the Packers with 1438 passing yards with 69.3% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing yards with 414, while Romeo Doubs has a team-high 24 receptions for 306 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Quay Walker has a team-high 59 total tackles (32 of them solo), while Rashan Gary and Micah Parsons lead the team in sacks, with 5.5 each, while Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams each have one interception.
Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 8
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Steelers have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a road loss.
- The Packers have lost each of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Steelers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a road loss.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games against NFC North opponents.
- The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last four Sunday games.
- The Steelers have won the first quarter in three of their last four games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last six games in October.
- The Steelers have lost each of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Packers’ last eight Week 8 games.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
- The Steelers have lost the first half in each of their last six October games as underdogs.
- The Steelers have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Packers’ last eight games as road favorites following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Steelers’ last six games at Acrisure Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of the last 12 Sunday games at Acrisure Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last four Sunday games.
- Pat Freiermuth has recorded 16+ receiving yards in 15 of his last 16 appearances following a road loss.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 233+ passing yards in six of his last seven October appearances.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last five October appearances against NFC opponents.
- Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four October road appearances.
- Josh Jacobs has scored two touchdowns in each of the Packers’ last three games.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of the Packers’ last 15 games.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 76+ rushing yards in each of his six previous October appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 16+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 92+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 21+ completions in seven of the Packers’ last nine games following a road win.
- Heading into Week 8, Romeo Doubs has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 4).
Matchup/League Facts
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
- Heading into Week 8, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in average punt return (5.5 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 8, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (49.3%) this season.
Packers vs Steelers Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, the Steelers won 23-19 at home, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Packers, having won all of their three meetings in Pittsburgh. Over is 5-1 in their 6 meetings.
In this Packers vs Steelers Prediction, the Packers are coming as -3-point road favorites, with the total set at 45 points. Both teams have been good this season with 4 wins each, with the Steelers coming off back-to-back home wins. But the Packers are better both offensively, and defensively, ranking on the top-10 of the NFL in both categories and winning by an average of 5.5 points this season. The value here lies with the road favorite, so take the Green Bay Packers and lay the -3 points on the road.