In this article, we will formulate a Panthers vs Buccaneers Prediction for this NFL Week 18 game on Saturday, January 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 7-9 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC South. They are 7-9 ATS, 8-8 in Over/Under and have a 6-3 home record and a 1-6 away record. The Buccaneers are coming off a 17-20 away loss against the Miami Dolphins.
Offensively, the Buccaneers average 22.8 points per game, ranking 18th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.8 points per game, which is 23rd. Tampa Bay averages 319.3 total yards per game (206.4 passing and 112.9 rushing), while allowing 340.5 total yards per game (104.1 rushing and 236.4 passing).
Baker Mayfield leads the Buccaneers with 3490 passing yards with 62.8% completed passes and 25 touchdowns. Rachaad White leads the team in rushing yards with 549, while Emeka Egbuka has a team-high 62 receptions for 930 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Lavonte David has a team-high 108 total tackles (56 of them solo), while YaYa Diaby leads the team in sacks, with 7, while Jamel Dean has three interceptions.
Carolina Panthers Preview
The Carolina Panthers have a 8-8 record this season and are sitting first in the NFC South. They are 8-8 ATS, 7-9 in Over/Under and have a 5-3 home record and a 3-5 away record. The Panthers are coming off a 10-27 home loss against the Seattle.
Offensively, the Panthers average 18.6 points per game, ranking 27th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.8 points per game, which is 16th. Carolina averages 296.3 total yards per game (173.9 passing and 122.4 rushing), while allowing 326.6 total yards per game (122.3 rushing and 204.3 passing).
Bryce Young leads the Panthers with 2745 passing yards with 63.2% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Rico Dowdle leads the team in rushing yards with 1066, while Tetairoa McMillan has a team-high 66 receptions for 929 receiving yards, and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Christian Rozeboom has a team-high 114 total tackles (53 of them solo), while Derrick Brown leads the team in sacks, with 5, while Tre’von Moehrig and Jaycee Horn each have four interceptions.
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 18
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Panthers have lost each of their last 10 games in Florida.
- The Buccaneers have won each of their last six games against the Panthers at Raymond James Stadium.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games in Florida.
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread in four of their last five home games without Lavonte David.
- The Panthers have lost the first half in each of their last six games as road underdogs against NFC South opponents.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Panthers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games at Raymond James Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Carolina Panthers will win
- The Panthers have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Panthers have covered the spread in each of their last 12 games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games.
- The Buccaneers have lost the first half in five of their last six games following a loss.
- The Panthers have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six road games.
- The road team has won the first quarter in each of the Panthers’ last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last six games without Antoine Winfield Jr. have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Panthers’ last six games without Chuba Hubbard have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Mike Evans has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Buccaneers’ last four home games against the Panthers.
- Mike Evans has scored the first touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last three games against the Panthers.
- Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last five home games against the Panthers.
- Mike Evans has recorded 59+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 home appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Rachaad White has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 10 games against NFC opponents.
- Rachaad White has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last seven games against the Panthers.
- Heading into Week 18, Chase McLaughlin ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (11) this season.
Carolina Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Tetairoa McMillan has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Panthers’ last five games as underdogs.
- Bryce Young has recorded 203+ passing yards in each of the Panthers’ last three games as road underdogs against NFC South opponents.
- Xavier Legette has recorded 23+ receiving yards in seven of his eight previous appearances with the Panthers as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
- Bryce Young has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Panthers’ last four games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
- Chuba Hubbard has recorded 56+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances in Florida.
- Chuba Hubbard has recorded 27+ rushing yards in 15 of his last 17 appearances following a loss.
- Heading into Week 18, Jaycee Horn has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Jets, Week 7).
Matchup/League Facts
- Buccaneers – seven different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
- Buccaneers – seven different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
- Panthers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
- Heading into Week 18, the Panthers are the only team to overturn multiple 12+ point 2nd quarter deficits to win this season.
Panthers vs Buccaneers Prediction
In this Panthers vs Buccaneers Prediction, the Buccaneers are coming as -2.5-point home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and both have exactly three home/away wins. Tampa has been on a free fall lately with a 1-7 record in its last 8 games and are 0-8 against the spread and they also have a weaker defense than Carolina, so perhaps the wrong team is favored in this spot. Carolina 5-5 both straight up and against the spread in its last 10 games and 3-2 in its last 5 on the road, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Panthers on the moneyline for plus money in this one.