In this article, we will formulate a Patriots vs Buccaneers Prediction for this NFL Week 10 game on Sunday, November 9th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 6-2 record this season and are sitting first in the NFC South. They are 5-3 ATS, 4-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 4-1 away record. The Buccaneers are coming off a 23-3 away win against the New Orleans Saints and will face the Bills, Rams and Cardinals next.
Offensively, the Buccaneers average 24.6 points per game, ranking 15th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.3 points per game, which is 13th. Tampa Bay averages 323 total yards per game (224.9 passing and 98.1 rushing), while allowing 321.4 total yards per game (92.6 rushing and 228.8 passing).
Baker Mayfield leads the Buccaneers with 1919 passing yards with 63.9% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Rachaad White leads the team in rushing yards with 287, while Emeka Egbuka has a team-high 34 receptions for 562 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, SirVocea Dennis has a team-high 59 total tackles (41 of them solo), while YaYa Diaby leads the team in sacks, with 4.0. Jamel Dean leads the team with three interceptions.
New England Patriots Preview
The New England Patriots have a 7-2 record this season and are sitting first in the AFC East. They are 6-3 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 4-0 away record. The Patriots are coming off a 24-23 home win against the Atlanta Falcons and will face the Jets and Bengals next.
Offensively, the Patriots average 26.3 points per game, ranking 7th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 18.8 points per game, which is 6th. New England averages 350.7 total yards per game (238.3 passing and 112.3 rushing), while allowing 299.0 total yards per game (75.4 rushing and 223.6 passing).
Drake Maye leads the Patriots with 2285 passing yards with 74.1% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Rhamondre Stevenson leads the team in rushing yards with 279, while Stefon Diggs has a team-high 45 receptions for 508 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Robert Spillane has a team-high 72 total tackles (37 of them solo), while Harold Landry leads the team in sacks, with 5.5. Robert Spillane, Jaylinn Hawkins, Marcus Jones and Marte Mapu each have one interception.
New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Buccaneers have won each of their seven previous November home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have lost eight of their last nine games before a Division game.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs before a Division game.
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 10 games against AFC opponents.
- The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in each of their seven previous November home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a win.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight home games against AFC opponents.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last six games.
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last six home games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five road games.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games.
- The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in each of their last four November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last six games.
- The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five road games against NFC South opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight November games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last four road games against NFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the last six Sunday games at Raymond James Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Bucky Irving has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 275+ passing yards in four of the Buccaneers’ last five home games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Bucky Irving has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances following a win.
- Chris Godwin has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Buccaneers as home favorites.
- Tez Johnson has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 22+ completions in six of the Buccaneers’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 10, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Demario Douglas has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last eight November games.
- Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in seven of the Patriots’ last eight games following a win.
- Joshua Dobbs has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Austin Hooper has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NFC opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Patriots’ last four games as underdogs following a win.
- Heading into Week 10, Kayshon Boutte ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Buccaneers – seven different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
- Heading into Week 10, the Buccaneers have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Q3 this season (4).
- Patriots – 13 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
- Patriots – six different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
Patriots vs Buccaneers Prediction
The Patriots are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Buccaneers, having won both visits in Tampa. All of their four meetings have gone under the total.
In this Patriots vs Buccaneers Prediction, the Buccaneers are coming as -2.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 48.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as the Buccaneers are 3-1 in their last 4 games and the Patriots have won six straight. I cannot go against either team right now but both teams have been very efficient offensively this season, scoring 50.9 points per game combined and as a result they are 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games combined. Take the over 48.5 points in this one.