In this article we will formulate a Patriots vs Falcons prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 2nd at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 9 matchup.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots are 6-2 this season after they defeated Cleveland by a score of 32-13 last week. New England led 9-7 at halftime and added 21 points in the third quarter to pull away with an easy win. The Patriots out gained Cleveland by a total of 422-213, went 3-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Drake Maye went 18-24 for 282 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while TreVeyon Henderson rushed 10 times for 75 yards. Mack Hollins led the receivers with seven receptions for 89 yards in the game. The NE defense recorded one sack and seven tackles for loss in the win.
Prior to that game, New England defeated the Titans by a score of 31-13 and the Saints by a score of 25-19. The Patriots have won five games in a row and they are currently first in the AFC East standings. New England has scored 26.6 points per game with 240.5 passing yards and 112.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.3 points against per game this season. Drake Maye has thrown for 2,026 yards, 15 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Stefon Diggs has 42 receptions for 470 yards and one score this season.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons are 3-4 this year after they lost to Miami by a score of 34-10 in their last game. Atlanta trailed 17-3 at halftime and allowed the first 17 points in the second half for the blowout loss. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 338-213, went 2-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Kirk Cousins went 21-31 for 173 yards, while Bijan Robinson rushed nine times for 25 yards. Kyle Pitts led the receivers with nine catches for 59 yards in the loss. The Atlanta defense recorded one sack and five tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that game, Atlanta lost to the 49ers by a score of 20-10, but did beat the Bills by a score of 24-14 before that. The Falcons have lost two games in a row and they are currently third in the NFC South standings. Atlanta has scored 17.1 points per game with 219.4 passing yards and 123.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.0 points against per game this season. Michael Penix should be back at quarterback for this week, but if he remains out, we will see Kirk Cousins once again. Bijan Robinson has led the team with 549 rushing yards, 413 receiving yards, and four total touchdowns this year.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last seven games against the Falcons.
- The Falcons have lost each of their last six games against AFC East opponents on a winning streak.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five games.
- The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last six Week 9 home games.
- The Falcons have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of the Falcons’ last 13 November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Patriots’ last nine games against NFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the last nine Sunday games at Gillette Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Kayshon Boutte has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Patriots’ last five games against teams that held a losing record.
- Drake Maye has recorded 261+ passing yards in six of the Patriots’ last seven games following a win.
- Austin Hooper has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last nine home appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 28+ rushing yards in four of the Patriots’ last five games following a win.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Patriots’ last three games following a home win.
- Heading into Week 9, Drake Maye ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (118.7) this season.
Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Falcons’ last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 230+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 52+ receiving yards in three of the Falcons’ last four games.
- Tyler Allgeier has recorded 63+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Falcons’ last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
- Tyler Allgeier has recorded 53+ rushing yards in five of the Falcons’ last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 21+ completions in each of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, Bijan Robinson has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (81 vs Bills, Week 6).
Matchup/League Facts
- Patriots – 12 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Patriots – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Heading into Week 9, the Falcons rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (149.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (21.1 yards) this season.
Patriots vs Falcons Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup after an embarrassing home loss to Miami last week and they will hope to have Penix back under center. The Falcons have scored just 10 points in each of their last two games, which won’t get it done here. New England is having a great season and they have scored at least 25 points in four of their last five games. The Patriots are rolling right now and they have also allowed 20 points or fewer in five straight. Take New England to cover at home here.
David Racey is 49-29 (63%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!