In this article, we will formulate a Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 17th at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 7-2 this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 28-27 in their last game. Pittsburgh trailed 17-14 at halftime and 24-14 in the third quarter, but they scored 14 of the last 17 points in the game for the win. The Steelers outgained Washington by a total of 312-242, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 7-16 on third down in the game. Russell Wilson threw for 195 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while George Pickens caught five passes for 91 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Steelers won three games in a row against the Giants, Jets, and Raiders. The Pittsburgh offense has scored 23.9 points per game with 188 passing yards and 138.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16.2 points per game this season. Russell Wilson has completed 66.3% of his passes for 1,106 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while George Pickens has caught 40 passes for 639 yards and two scores.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 7-3 this year after they defeated the Bengals by a score of 35-34 last week. Baltimore trailed 21-7 in the third quarter, but they stormed back to take a 35-28 lead, before stopping a two-point play in the final seconds for the win. The Ravens were outgained by a total of 470-389, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 7-12 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 290 yards and four touchdowns, while Tylan Wallace caught three passes for 115 yards and one score.
Prior to that win, the Ravens defeated Denver by a score of 41-10 but did lose to Cleveland by a score of 29-24 before that. The Baltimore offense has scored 31.8 points per game with 257.6 passing yards and 182.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.3 points per game this season. Lamar Jackson has completed 69.1% of his passes for 2,669 yards, 24 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 1,120 yards and 12 scores.
Why the Steelers will cover
- The Steelers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Ravens.
- The Ravens have lost three of their last four November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between the Ravens and Steelers.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Acrisure Stadium following a Division game.
- The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last five November home games against AFC North opponents.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 11 games at Acrisure Stadium.
- The Ravens have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games as favorites following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Ravens and Steelers has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Ravens’ last six games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- Russell Wilson has recorded 223+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 33+ rushing yards in 10 of his last 11 appearances following a win.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last six games against AFC North opponents.
- George Pickens has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last six games as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
- George Pickens has scored the last touchdown in three of the Steelers’ last four games as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Mike Williams has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last 23 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Russell Wilson has recorded 20+ completions in nine of his last 10 November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Russell Wilson has thrown three touchdowns in four of his five previous regular-season appearances with his team as a home underdog against AFC opponents.
- Cameron Sutton is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Diontae Johnson has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 280+ passing yards in each of the Ravens’ last six games.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 45+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last seven road games.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 11 appearances.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in four of the Ravens’ last five Sunday games.
- Diontae Johnson has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Ravens’ last five road games against AFC North opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown four or more touchdowns in each of the Ravens’ last three games as favorites following a home win.
- Heading into Week 11, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (1120) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 11, the Steelers rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.0 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (1.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (31.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (440.2) this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Baltimore rolls into this game with one of the best records in the NFL so far this season, but they were fortunate to get the win last week against Cincinnati. The Ravens have allowed 29 points or more in three of their last four games and will be on the road here. Pittsburgh has won four games in a row and they have scored at least 26 points in four straight games. The Steelers have a slightly better record than Baltimore and their defense has also been better. This should be another very entertaining AFC North battle, but I have to take the Steelers and their defense at home.